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Betting tips › Brasileirao ›  Mirassol v São Paulo

 BrasileiraoSat 24 Oct 18:00 UTCEstadio Municipal José Maria de Campos Maia

Mirassol v São Paulo tips

MIRMirassolWDWLD
VS
SAOSão PauloWLWWL
The model callMirassolMatch result2.20★★★★2 stars

Mirassol hold a solid recent run of form at home and face a Sao Paulo side whose results bounce up and down. The price of 2.20 offers enough value to back the hosts to edge this contest.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$44
Profit$24
Why it might land
  • Mirassol enter this fixture with a solid recent sequence of form showing three wins and two draws alongside just a single defeat in their last five outings.
  • Sao Paulo arrive at this ground having suffered two losses in their last five matches which exposes inconsistency in their recent league results.
  • The market prices Mirassol at a generous 2.20 to win this home match given their stronger current momentum compared to their opponents.
Why it might not
  • Sao Paulo managed to take three wins from their last five matches so they carry enough attacking threat to punish any defensive lapses from the hosts.
  • Mirassol registered two draws in their recent five game sequence which proves they can struggle to turn tight matches into victories.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

The recent mixed defensive records for both sides suggest that each team could find the net during this match.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams show mixed results recently which makes predicting the total goals line quite difficult.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Mirassol the side to beat here at 42%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Mirassol, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Mirassol hold a solid recent run of form at home and face a Sao Paulo side whose results bounce up and down. The price of 2.20 offers enough value to back the hosts to edge this contest.

Form and momentum

Mirassol come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

São Paulo come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 42% for MIR, 28% for the draw and 29% for SAO once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Mirassol, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.20, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Sao Paulo managed to take three wins from their last five matches so they carry enough attacking threat to punish any defensive lapses from the hosts.
  • Mirassol registered two draws in their recent five game sequence which proves they can struggle to turn tight matches into victories.
The bottom line

We back Mirassol for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsMIR +120
MIR2.20draw3.25SAO3.15

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

MIRMirassol8 games on record
Won2
Drawn3
Lost3
  • Scored10and let in15
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWLD
SAOSão Paulo7 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored7and let in7
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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