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Betting tips › Liga de Expansion ›  Mineros de Zacatecas v Leones Negros

 Liga de ExpansionSun 25 Oct 00:00 UTCEstadio Carlos Vega Villalba

Mineros de Zacatecas v Leones Negros tips

MDZMineros de ZacatecasWWLLW
VS
UDGLeones NegrosWLDWD
The model callMineros de ZacatecasMatch result1.95★★★★2 stars

Mineros de Zacatecas have enough momentum at home to edge this tight contest. Leones Negros will prove stubborn opponents based on their recent mixed run.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$39
Profit$19
Why it might land
  • Mineros de Zacatecas come into this fixture having secured three wins from their last five matches in a generally positive run of form.
  • The bookmakers offer a decent price of 1.95 on Mineros de Zacatecas to win this match at the Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba.
  • Leones Negros managed only one victory across their last five outings which suggests vulnerability on the road in this fixture.
Why it might not
  • Leones Negros managed to pick up draws in two of their last five matches which shows they can frustrate opponents for long spells.
  • Mineros de Zacatecas suffered two defeats in their last five outings proving they are far from invincible in this division.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Recent results for both clubs suggest they will each find the back of the net during this encounter.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown mixed scoring form recently making any goals line hard to predict with strong conviction.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Mineros de Zacatecas the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Mineros de Zacatecas, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Mineros de Zacatecas have enough momentum at home to edge this tight contest. Leones Negros will prove stubborn opponents based on their recent mixed run.

Form and momentum

Mineros de Zacatecas come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

Leones Negros come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 3 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 46% for MDZ, 25% for the draw and 28% for UDG once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Mineros de Zacatecas, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.95, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Leones Negros managed to pick up draws in two of their last five matches which shows they can frustrate opponents for long spells.
  • Mineros de Zacatecas suffered two defeats in their last five outings proving they are far from invincible in this division.
The bottom line

We back Mineros de Zacatecas for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsMDZ -105
MDZ1.95draw3.60UDG3.20

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

MDZMineros de Zacatecas6 games on record
Won3
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored8and let in8
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLLW
UDGLeones Negros6 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored10and let in8
  • On the road3 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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