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Betting tips › Categoria Primera A ›  Millonarios v América de Cali

 Categoria Primera AWed 4 Nov 01:10 UTCEstadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín

Millonarios v América de Cali tips

MILMillonariosDWWDD
VS
AMEAmérica de CaliWDLWD
The model callMillonariosMatch result1.83★★★★2 stars

Millonarios return to El Campin as favourites at 1.83 against America de Cali. Their steady run of three draws and two wins makes them the side to trust here.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$36.6
Profit$16.6
Why it might land
  • Millonarios play this match at the Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin with a solid recent form line of two wins and three draws.
  • The bookmakers price a home victory at 1.83 which reflects clear market confidence in the hosts taking all three points.
  • America de Cali arrive with mixed results from their last five matches including one defeat and two draws on the road.
Why it might not
  • America de Cali managed to secure a win in their recent fixtures which proves they can cause problems for the hosts.
  • Millonarios have too many draws on their recent record with three stalemates in their last five outings showing they sometimes struggle to finish teams off.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Each team has enough scoring form in their recent matches to find the back of the net at least once.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown plenty of tight results lately which points toward a low scoring affair on this ground.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Millonarios the side to beat here at 49%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Millonarios, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Millonarios return to El Campin as favourites at 1.83 against America de Cali. Their steady run of three draws and two wins makes them the side to trust here.

Form and momentum

Millonarios come in patchy, winning 33% of 9 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

América de Cali come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 49% for MIL, 28% for the draw and 23% for AME once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Millonarios, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.83, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • America de Cali managed to secure a win in their recent fixtures which proves they can cause problems for the hosts.
  • Millonarios have too many draws on their recent record with three stalemates in their last five outings showing they sometimes struggle to finish teams off.
The bottom line

We back Millonarios for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsMIL -120
MIL1.83draw3.25AME4.00

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

MILMillonarios9 games on record
Won3
Drawn5
Lost1
  • Scored13and let in8
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWWDD
AMEAmérica de Cali7 games on record
Won3
Drawn3
Lost1
  • Scored11and let in6
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDLWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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