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Betting tips › Primera Nacional ›  Midland v Gimnasia y Tiro (Salta)

 Primera NacionalSat 24 Oct 18:00 UTCEstadio Ferrocarril Midland

Midland v Gimnasia y Tiro (Salta) tips

MIDMidlandLWWLL
VS
GYTGimnasia y Tiro (Salta)WLDWW
The model callMidlandMatch result1.83★★★★2 stars

Midland have home advantage at Estadio Ferrocarril Midland and the market prices them at 1.83 to take the victory. Gimnasia y Tiro arrive with decent form, but the hosts can edge this tight match.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$36.6
Profit$16.6
Why it might land
  • Midland are playing at home on their own turf and the bookmakers price them as clear favourites at 1.83 to win the match.
  • Gimnasia y Tiro managed wins recently, but playing away from home in this division is always a very tough task for them.
  • The price of 1.83 offers enough value to back the hosts based on their general standing and home advantage for this fixture.
Why it might not
  • Midland come into this fixture having lost three of their last five matches which creates a real doubt about their consistency.
  • Gimnasia y Tiro put together a strong run with three wins in their last five matches making them a very dangerous opponent.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides show mixed recent defensive records which could lead to goals at both ends.

Total goalsOver 1.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no prices on the goal lines so it is hard to gauge the true value.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Midland the side to beat here at 49%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Midland, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Midland have home advantage at Estadio Ferrocarril Midland and the market prices them at 1.83 to take the victory. Gimnasia y Tiro arrive with decent form, but the hosts can edge this tight match.

Form and momentum

Midland come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Gimnasia y Tiro (Salta) come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 49% for MID, 30% for the draw and 21% for GYT once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Midland, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.83, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Midland come into this fixture having lost three of their last five matches which creates a real doubt about their consistency.
  • Gimnasia y Tiro put together a strong run with three wins in their last five matches making them a very dangerous opponent.
The bottom line

We back Midland for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsMID -120
MID1.83draw3.00GYT4.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

MIDMidland7 games on record
Won3
Drawn0
Lost4
  • Scored8and let in9
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWLL
GYTGimnasia y Tiro (Salta)6 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored6and let in5
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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