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Betting tips › NBA ›  Washington Mystics vs Miami Heat

 NBAWed 21 Oct 23:30 UTCKaseya Center

Washington Mystics vs Miami Heat tips

WSHWashington MysticsLWWWW
VS
MIAMiami HeatLLLLL
The model callWashington Mystics +1.5Handicap1.95★★★★2 stars

Washington arrives in strong form while Miami is struggling badly. The Mystics can cover the small handicap here.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$39
Profit$19
Why it might land
  • Washington enters this contest riding a fantastic four match winning run after beating previous opponents convincingly on the road.
  • Miami continues to struggle mightily on the floor having suffered five consecutive defeats in their most recent outings.
  • Bookmakers price the visiting Washington team at a generous 1.95 to cover the modest plus one point five handicap.
Why it might not
  • Washington might struggle to maintain their brilliant winning momentum away from home against a desperate Miami squad.
  • Miami could finally snap their five match losing streak on their home court if their shooters find some rhythm.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Total pointsOver 243.5 pointsPrice 1.95

Both teams have shown high scoring tendencies recently which points towards clearing the 243.5 total line.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Miami Heat the side to beat here at 53%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Washington Mystics +1.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Washington arrives in strong form while Miami is struggling badly. The Mystics can cover the small handicap here.

Form and momentum

Miami Heat come in poor, winning 0% of 5 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 5 losss in a row.

Washington Mystics come in strong, winning 67% of 6 on record. 2 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 53% for MIA and 47% for WSH once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.95, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Washington might struggle to maintain their brilliant winning momentum away from home against a desperate Miami squad.
  • Miami could finally snap their five match losing streak on their home court if their shooters find some rhythm.
The bottom line

We back Washington Mystics +1.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBetMGMMIA -1.5
MIA -1.51.91WSH +1.51.91over 242.51.91under 242.51.91
SourceDraftKingsMIA -1.5
MIA -1.51.87WSH +1.51.95over 243.51.95under 243.51.87
SourceFanDuelMIA -1.5
MIA -1.51.91WSH +1.51.91over 243.51.91under 243.51.91

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

MIAMiami Heat5 games on record
Won0
Lost5
  • Scored376and let in475
  • At homeno winsfrom3
  • Right now5 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLL
WSHWashington Mystics6 games on record
Won4
Lost2
  • Scored542and let in499
  • On the road2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotAmerican Football

Heat vs Mystics. Who are you backing?

The site model likes the Mystics because they have strong form and Miami is struggling badly. The worry is that Washington might struggle to keep that winning run going away from home against a desper...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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