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Betting tips › Ligue 2 ›  Metz v Saint-Étienne

 Ligue 2Sat 19 Sept 18:00 UTCStade Saint-SymphorienFinished

Metz v Saint-Étienne tips

METZMetzLWDDD
2 : 2
ASSESaint-ÉtienneLWWWW
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.71★★★★2 starsWon

Saint Etienne arrive in great scoring form and Metz need a win after recent draws, so goals should flow freely at Stade Saint Symphorien on Saturday evening.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.2
Profit$14.2
Why it might land
  • Saint Etienne arrive here on a strong four match winning run that shows they are finding the net with regularity in Ligue 2.
  • Metz have been drawing too many matches recently and will need to push forward at home to change their current trajectory.
  • The betting market lists over two and half goals at an appealing price of one point seven one given the attacking momentum.
Why it might not
  • Metz have recorded three draws in their last five outings which suggests they can sometimes struggle to turn possession into goals.
  • Saint Etienne suffered a defeat within their last five fixtures which proves they are not entirely immune to defensive slips.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Both teams should find the net since Metz need to respond at home and the visitors bring a very sharp attack.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Saint-Étienne the side to beat here at 47%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Saint Etienne arrive in great scoring form and Metz need a win after recent draws, so goals should flow freely at Stade Saint Symphorien on Saturday evening.

Form and momentum

Metz come in poor, winning 13% of 40 on record. 4 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Saint-Étienne come in strong, winning 83% of 6 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 27% for METZ, 27% for the draw and 47% for ASSE once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Saint-Étienne, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.71, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Metz have recorded three draws in their last five outings which suggests they can sometimes struggle to turn possession into goals.
  • Saint Etienne suffered a defeat within their last five fixtures which proves they are not entirely immune to defensive slips.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsASSE -105
METZ3.45draw3.45ASSE1.95

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

METZMetz40 games on record
Won5
Drawn11
Lost24
  • Scored40and let in81
  • At home4 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWDDD
ASSESaint-Étienne6 games on record
Won5
Drawn0
Lost1
  • Scored17and let in6
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Metz v Saint Etienne goals on the cards?

Saint Etienne are in great scoring form and Metz need a win after recent draws so goals should flow. The site model calls a draw. The worry is Metz have had three draws in their last five and can stru...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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