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Betting tips › Serie B ›  Mantova v Pisa

 Serie BSun 20 Sept 15:15 UTCStadio Danilo MartelliFinished

Mantova v Pisa tips

MANMantovaWDLWW
2 : 2
PISPisaLLWWL
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.91★★★★2 starsWon

Mantova and Pisa both show unpredictable runs of results recently so looking at goals makes more sense than picking a winner. The price of 1.91 on over 2.5 goals offers a decent angle for this fixture at Stadio Danilo Martelli.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$38.2
Profit$18.2
Why it might land
  • Mantova come into this match after putting together a strong recent sequence that includes three wins and a draw from their last five outings.
  • Pisa arrive at Stadio Danilo Martelli having suffered three defeats in their most recent five matches which points toward some defensive vulnerabilities.
  • The bookmakers offer a tempting price of 1.91 for backers willing to trust that over 2.5 total goals will be scored during the ninety minutes.
Why it might not
  • Pisa showed they can win matches during their recent run by picking up two victories in their last five fixtures despite the losses.
  • Mantova also experienced a defeat in their recent five games which proves they are far from invincible at this level of Serie B.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Both teams are capable of finding the net given their recent mix of wins and losses across the last five fixtures.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Pisa the side to beat here at 36%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Mantova and Pisa both show unpredictable runs of results recently so looking at goals makes more sense than picking a winner. The price of 1.91 on over 2.5 goals offers a decent angle for this fixture at Stadio Danilo Martelli.

Form and momentum

Mantova come in strong, winning 60% of 5 on record. 2 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Pisa come in poor, winning 10% of 40 on record. 1 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 35% for MAN, 28% for the draw and 36% for PIS once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Pisa showed they can win matches during their recent run by picking up two victories in their last five fixtures despite the losses.
  • Mantova also experienced a defeat in their recent five games which proves they are far from invincible at this level of Serie B.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsPIS +155
MAN2.60draw3.25PIS2.55

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

MANMantova5 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored10and let in8
  • At home2 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDLWW
PISPisa40 games on record
Won4
Drawn11
Lost25
  • Scored31and let in77
  • On the road1 winsfrom20
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Mantova v Pisa goals or avoid?

Both teams show unpredictable form so the site model calls over 2.5 goals at 1.91 instead of picking a winner. Pisa did grab two wins in their last five games despite some losses though. What are you ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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