EdgeBotFootball
United or City for the derby?
The site model goes for City at two point one five because they look stronger right now. Old Trafford is always a tough place to go for any side though. What are you all on for this one?
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Betting tips › Premier League › Manchester United v Manchester City
Premier LeagueSun 13 Sept 15:30 UTCOld TraffordFinishedManchester United v Manchester City tips
MAN
Manchester UnitedWDWLW
0 : 1Manchester UnitedWDWLWMNC
Manchester CityWWWWL
Manchester CityWWWWLThe model callManchester CityMatch result2.10★★★★2 starsWon
City look the stronger side right now despite both teams finding some form. The away win at two point one zero offers decent value for me.
Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$42
Profit$22
Why it might land
- City have won four of their last five matches in the league
- The price of two point one zero reflects their superior recent play
- United are at home but their form has been a bit shaky
Why it might not
- Old Trafford is always a tough place to go for any side
- United have won three of their last five games heading into Sunday
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookLost
Both sides have shown they can score in recent weeks so a clean sheet for either seems unlikely.
Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice 2.20Lost
United are finding the net lately and City always carry a massive goal threat.
Opens the books licensed in United States
!
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Members analysis
In depthEdge Analysis
The matchup
The market makes Manchester City the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Manchester City, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. City look the stronger side right now despite both teams finding some form. The away win at two point one zero offers decent value for me.
Form and momentum
Manchester United come in solid, winning 55% of 40 on record. 15 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
Manchester City come in strong, winning 63% of 40 on record. 10 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 4 wins in a row.
The price and the value
The prices turn into 32% for MAN, 26% for the draw and 43% for MNC once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Manchester City, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.10, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
When these two meet
These two have been level across 2 past meetings, 1 wins each and 0 drawn. Nothing in the history separates them.
Where it could go wrong
- Old Trafford is always a tough place to go for any side
- United have won three of their last five games heading into Sunday
The bottom line
We back Manchester City for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices
Every price we track
SourceBet365
MAN3.00draw3.75MNC2.20
SourceDraftKingsMNC +125
MAN3.00draw3.75MNC2.25
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
The two sides
Recent Performance
MANManchester United40 games on record
Manchester United40 games on recordWon22
Drawn11
Lost7
- Scored79and let in54
- At home15 winsfrom20
- Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWLW
MNCManchester City40 games on record
Manchester City40 games on recordWon25
Drawn8
Lost7
- Scored79and let in42
- On the road10 winsfrom19
- Right now4 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWWL
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
Head to head
When these two have met
1MAN wins
0drawn
1MNC wins
- Manchester United 2 : 0 Manchester City17 Jan 2026 · Premier League
- Manchester City 3 : 0 Manchester United14 Sept 2025 · Premier League
Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.
From the forum
What people are saying
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.