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Betting tips › Champions League ›  Manchester City v Paris Saint-Germain

 Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct 19:00 UTCEtihad Stadium

Manchester City v Paris Saint-Germain tips

MNCManchester CityWWWWW
VS
PSGParis Saint-GermainWWWLD
The model callManchester CityMatch result2.15★★★★2 stars

City arrive with five straight wins and home advantage against a visiting side with mixed recent form. The odds of 2.15 offer enough value to back the hosts.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$43
Profit$23
Why it might land
  • Manchester City come into this fixture on the back of five consecutive victories across all recent matches.
  • The bookmakers offer a tempting price of 2.15 for the home side to claim another three points here.
  • Paris Saint Germain failed to win two of their last three outings including a recent loss and a draw.
Why it might not
  • Paris Saint Germain still managed to win three of their last five matches which shows they retain some threat.
  • An away price of 2.90 suggests the visitors have enough quality to trouble the defence at the Etihad Stadium.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both squads possess enough firepower to find the net during ninety minutes.

Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice 2.00

The price of 2.00 for over 3.5 goals looks fair given the attacking talent on display.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Manchester City the side to beat here at 44%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Manchester City, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. City arrive with five straight wins and home advantage against a visiting side with mixed recent form. The odds of 2.15 offer enough value to back the hosts.

Form and momentum

Manchester City come in strong, winning 63% of 40 on record. 14 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 7 wins in a row.

Paris Saint-Germain come in strong, winning 63% of 40 on record. 12 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 44% for MNC, 24% for the draw and 32% for PSG once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Manchester City, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Paris Saint Germain still managed to win three of their last five matches which shows they retain some threat.
  • An away price of 2.90 suggests the visitors have enough quality to trouble the defence at the Etihad Stadium.
The bottom line

We back Manchester City for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
MNC2.10draw4.10PSG2.88
SourceDraftKingsMNC +115
MNC2.15draw3.90PSG2.90

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

MNCManchester City40 games on record
Won25
Drawn8
Lost7
  • Scored80and let in43
  • At home14 winsfrom20
  • Right now7 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWWW
PSGParis Saint-Germain40 games on record
Won25
Drawn8
Lost7
  • Scored92and let in44
  • On the road12 winsfrom20
  • Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Man City or PSG tonight?

City come here on five straight wins with home advantage and odds of 2.15 look fair. PSG have still won three of their last five so they are a threat. The site model calls City. What are you all on?

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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