Betting tips › Bundesliga › Mainz v Bayer Leverkusen
BundesligaSat 10 Oct 13:30 UTCMEWA ARENA
MainzWLWDW
Bayer LeverkusenWWDWLWe should see plenty of goals at the MEWA Arena because both sides have been winning matches recently while scoring regularly. The price of 2.10 on over 3.5 goals offers decent value given their recent form.
Mainz and Leverkusen both know how to find the net regularly based on their recent results.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
The market makes Bayer Leverkusen the side to beat here at 41%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 3.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We should see plenty of goals at the MEWA Arena because both sides have been winning matches recently while scoring regularly. The price of 2.10 on over 3.5 goals offers decent value given their recent form.
Mainz come in patchy, winning 32% of 38 on record. 4 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
Bayer Leverkusen come in solid, winning 48% of 40 on record. 9 of their 21 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.
The prices turn into 34% for M05, 25% for the draw and 41% for B04 once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.10, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Across 2 past meetings B04 have had the better of it, 1 wins to 0, with 1 drawn. Squads change, so read it as colour rather than proof.
We back Over 3.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Mainz38 games on recordBayer Leverkusen40 games on recordCounted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.
Both teams are scoring for fun right now and over 3.5 goals at 2.10 looks decent value. Leverkusen shut them out in the recent head to head though so it might not be that simple. What are you lot back...