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Betting tips › J1 League ›  Machida Zelvia v Avispa Fukuoka

 J1 LeagueSun 18 Oct 07:00 UTCMachida Gion Stadium

Machida Zelvia v Avispa Fukuoka tips

ZELMachida ZelviaLDWWD
VS
AVFAvispa FukuokaLLDLL
The model callMachida ZelviaMatch result1.83★★★★2 stars

Machida Zelvia should control this match at home against a struggling Avispa Fukuoka side. The visitors arrive on a poor run of four defeats from their last five outings.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$36.6
Profit$16.6
Why it might land
  • Machida Zelvia sits at home with prices of one point eight three to win which reflects their stronger recent form in the league table.
  • Avispa Fukuoka travels after picking up four losses and one draw from their last five recent results in the competition.
  • Machida Zelvia avoided defeat in three of their last five matches including two wins and two draws to keep steady momentum.
Why it might not
  • Machida Zelvia dropped their most recent fixture with a loss which introduces some doubt about their immediate consistency.
  • Avispa Fukuoka will be desperate to turn their poor run around after suffering four losses in their last five outings.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Avispa Fukuoka has struggled to score in recent weeks which points towards a clean sheet for the hosts.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams have struggled for goals lately so this match could stay tight under the line.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Machida Zelvia the side to beat here at 51%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Machida Zelvia, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Machida Zelvia should control this match at home against a struggling Avispa Fukuoka side. The visitors arrive on a poor run of four defeats from their last five outings.

Form and momentum

Machida Zelvia come in strong, winning 63% of 8 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Avispa Fukuoka come in poor, winning 13% of 8 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 51% for ZEL, 27% for the draw and 22% for AVF once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Machida Zelvia, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.83, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Machida Zelvia dropped their most recent fixture with a loss which introduces some doubt about their immediate consistency.
  • Avispa Fukuoka will be desperate to turn their poor run around after suffering four losses in their last five outings.
The bottom line

We back Machida Zelvia for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsZEL -120
ZEL1.83draw3.50AVF4.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ZELMachida Zelvia8 games on record
Won5
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored21and let in10
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDWWD
AVFAvispa Fukuoka8 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost6
  • Scored9and let in12
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLDLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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