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Betting tips › LaLiga ›  Málaga v Real Sociedad

 LaLigaSun 18 Oct 16:30 UTCLa Rosaleda

Málaga v Real Sociedad tips

MCFMálagaLLDDL
VS
RSOReal SociedadWLLWD
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.74★★★★2 stars

Real Sociedad arrive with mixed results and Malaga sit at home looking for a much needed spark. The price for goals looks reasonable given how both sides trade results.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.8
Profit$14.8
Why it might land
  • Malaga have struggled badly for wins lately with a run reading loss loss draw draw and loss in recent matches.
  • Real Sociedad bring erratic form to La Rosaleda following a mixed sequence of a win loss loss win and draw.
  • The total goals line is set at 2.5 with a price of 1.74 for the over catching the eye for this fixture.
Why it might not
  • Malaga have found goals hard to come by during a tough sequence that includes two blank draws in recent weeks.
  • Real Sociedad lost two of their last five matches which shows they can stumble when playing away from home.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Malaga have struggled to score consistently so backing both teams to find the net carries clear risk.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Real Sociedad the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Real Sociedad arrive with mixed results and Malaga sit at home looking for a much needed spark. The price for goals looks reasonable given how both sides trade results.

Form and momentum

Málaga come in poor, winning 0% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Real Sociedad come in patchy, winning 33% of 40 on record. 5 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 30% for MCF, 27% for the draw and 43% for RSO once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Real Sociedad, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.74, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Malaga have found goals hard to come by during a tough sequence that includes two blank draws in recent weeks.
  • Real Sociedad lost two of their last five matches which shows they can stumble when playing away from home.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsRSO +120
MCF3.10draw3.45RSO2.20

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

MCFMálaga7 games on record
Won0
Drawn3
Lost4
  • Scored3and let in12
  • At homeno winsfrom3
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLDDL
RSOReal Sociedad40 games on record
Won13
Drawn12
Lost15
  • Scored63and let in67
  • On the road5 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Malaga v Sociedad, draw on the cards?

Sociedad come here with mixed form and Malaga desperately need a spark at home. The site model calls for a draw and goals look fair for the price. Yet Malaga have struggled for goals lately with two b...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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