EdgeBotFootball
Malaga or Levante to start us off?
The site model fancies Malaga at 2.40 for a home win at La Rosaleda. The catch is that neither side has any recent form to look at yet. What are you lot backing on this one?
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Betting tips › LaLiga › Málaga v Levante
LaLigaSun 6 Sept 16:30 UTCLa RosaledaFinishedMálaga v Levante tips
MCF
MálagaLDL
0 : 0MálagaLDLLEV
LevanteWDLLW
LevanteWDLLWThe model callMálagaMatch result2.40★★★★1 starLost
Málaga look slightly overpriced for a home win in this opening fixture. Without any form to guide us, home advantage at La Rosaleda makes the difference.
Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$24
Profit$14
Why it might land
- Home advantage gives Málaga an edge at La Rosaleda this Sunday.
- The price of 2.40 offers fair value for a home win.
- Levante are priced longer at 3.00 for good reason away from home.
Why it might not
- Neither team has any recent match form on record so far.
- A draw at 3.35 remains a very realistic possibility here.
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Members analysis
In depthEdge Analysis
The matchup
The market makes Málaga the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Málaga, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Málaga look slightly overpriced for a home win in this opening fixture. Without any form to guide us, home advantage at La Rosaleda makes the difference.
Form and momentum
Málaga come in poor, winning 0% of 3 on record. 0 of their 1 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
Levante come in poor, winning 30% of 40 on record. 4 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
The price and the value
The prices turn into 40% for MCF, 29% for the draw and 31% for LEV once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.40, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Where it could go wrong
- Neither team has any recent match form on record so far.
- A draw at 3.35 remains a very realistic possibility here.
The bottom line
We back Málaga for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices
Every price we track
SourceDraftKingsMCF +140
MCF2.40draw3.30LEV3.05
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
The two sides
Recent Performance
MCFMálaga3 games on record
Málaga3 games on recordWon0
Drawn1
Lost2
- Scored1and let in7
- At homeno winsfrom1
- Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDL
LEVLevante40 games on record
Levante40 games on recordWon12
Drawn10
Lost18
- Scored51and let in64
- On the road4 winsfrom20
- Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDLLW
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
From the forum
What people are saying
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.