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Betting tips › Primera Nacional ›  Los Andes v Mitre (Santiago del Estero)

 Primera NacionalSat 31 Oct 18:00 UTCEduardo Gallardón

Los Andes v Mitre (Santiago del Estero) tips

ANDLos AndesWLDDD
VS
MITMitre (Santiago del Estero)LLDDD
The model callLos AndesMatch result1.77★★★★1 star

Los Andes are odds on to win at home against a struggling Mitre side that has not won lately. The market points to the hosts despite their recent draws.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$17.7
Profit$7.7
Why it might land
  • Los Andes play at home on Saturday afternoon and hold a decent price of 1.77 in the match market to secure three points.
  • The recent form guide shows Los Andes managed a win recently while their opponents struggled to find any victories at all.
  • Mitre arrive in poor form after recording two losses and three draws in their last five matches without showing much threat.
Why it might not
  • Los Andes have drawn three of their last five matches which proves they struggle to turn dominant positions into actual wins.
  • Mitre have also picked up three draws in their last five fixtures and might sit deep enough to frustrate the hosts all afternoon.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown a reliable scoring touch in their recent run of form to suggest both will find the net.

Total goalsUnder 1.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams have been involved in plenty of low scoring draws lately which suggests a tight match under the line of 1.5 goals.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Los Andes the side to beat here at 51%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Los Andes, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Los Andes are odds on to win at home against a struggling Mitre side that has not won lately. The market points to the hosts despite their recent draws.

Form and momentum

Los Andes come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Mitre (Santiago del Estero) come in poor, winning 0% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 51% for AND, 30% for the draw and 19% for MIT once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Los Andes, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.77, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Los Andes have drawn three of their last five matches which proves they struggle to turn dominant positions into actual wins.
  • Mitre have also picked up three draws in their last five fixtures and might sit deep enough to frustrate the hosts all afternoon.
The bottom line

We back Los Andes for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsAND -130
AND1.77draw3.05MIT4.70

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ANDLos Andes7 games on record
Won1
Drawn4
Lost2
  • Scored4and let in7
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDDD
MITMitre (Santiago del Estero)6 games on record
Won0
Drawn3
Lost3
  • Scored2and let in10
  • On the roadno winsfrom3
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLDDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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