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Betting tips › Brazil Serie B ›  Londrina v Cuiabá

 Brazil Serie BTue 20 Oct 22:30 UTCEstadio VGD

Londrina v Cuiabá tips

LONLondrinaLLWWL
VS
CUICuiabáLWDWL
The model callDrawMatch result3.10★★★★1 star

This match looks too close to call with both sides struggling for consistency. A tight draw matches the evenly matched prices of 2.60 for the hosts and 2.70 for the visitors.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$31
Profit$21
Why it might land
  • Londrina comes into this fixture at Estadio VGD carrying patchy form after picking up three losses and two wins from their most recent five outings.
  • Cuiaba shows an almost identical run over their last five matches with two wins one draw and two defeats recorded recently.
  • The bookmakers price Londrina at 2.60 and Cuiaba at 2.70 which shows how difficult it is to split these two evenly matched teams.
Why it might not
  • Londrina lost three of their last five matches which makes backing them to take all three points a risky proposition at Estadio VGD.
  • Cuiaba also suffered two defeats in their last five fixtures so relying on them to win away from home is far from certain.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have traded wins and losses with regularity lately which suggests defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown enough consistent goal scoring power in their recent results to trust a high scoring match.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Londrina the side to beat here at 36%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Draw, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. This match looks too close to call with both sides struggling for consistency. A tight draw matches the evenly matched prices of 2.60 for the hosts and 2.70 for the visitors.

Form and momentum

Londrina come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 1 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Cuiabá come in solid, winning 50% of 8 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 36% for LON, 30% for the draw and 34% for CUI once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 3.10, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Londrina lost three of their last five matches which makes backing them to take all three points a risky proposition at Estadio VGD.
  • Cuiaba also suffered two defeats in their last five fixtures so relying on them to win away from home is far from certain.
The bottom line

We back Draw for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsLON +160
LON2.60draw3.10CUI2.70

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

LONLondrina8 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost4
  • Scored11and let in9
  • At home1 winsfrom5
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWWL
CUICuiabá8 games on record
Won4
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored11and let in8
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWDWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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