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Betting tips › Brazil Serie B ›  Londrina v Criciúma

 Brazil Serie BFri 2 Oct 23:30 UTCEstadio VGD

Londrina v Criciúma tips

LONLondrinaLLWWL
VS
CRICriciúmaWLLLW
The model callUnder 2.5Total goals1.57★★★★1 star

This match looks tight on paper with both sides showing patchy form recently. Taking under two point five goals at one point five seven feels safer than picking a winner.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$15.7
Profit$5.7
Why it might land
  • Londrina come into this fixture at Estadio VGD after losing three of their last five matches in the competition.
  • Criciuma has also struggled for consistency recently with three defeats and only two victories in their last five outings.
  • The bookmakers offer a price of one point five seven for under two point five goals which points toward a low scoring affair.
Why it might not
  • Criciuma did manage to win their most recent match which could give them some momentum coming away from home.
  • Londrina won two matches in their recent five game run showing they can find the net when needed.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown enough consistent goalscoring power in their recent results to trust both teams scoring.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Criciúma the side to beat here at 36%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Under 2.5, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. This match looks tight on paper with both sides showing patchy form recently. Taking under two point five goals at one point five seven feels safer than picking a winner.

Form and momentum

Londrina come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 1 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Criciúma come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 34% for LON, 29% for the draw and 36% for CRI once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.57, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Criciuma did manage to win their most recent match which could give them some momentum coming away from home.
  • Londrina won two matches in their recent five game run showing they can find the net when needed.
The bottom line

We back Under 2.5 for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCRI +155
LON2.70draw3.15CRI2.55

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

LONLondrina8 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost4
  • Scored11and let in9
  • At home1 winsfrom5
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWWL
CRICriciúma8 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost5
  • Scored7and let in13
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Londrina versus Criciuma what is everyone backing?

The site model calls this a tight draw with under two point five goals at one point five seven because both teams show patchy form. Criciuma did win their last game though so away momentum could chang...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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