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Betting tips › Categoria Primera A ›  Llaneros FC v Atlético Junior

 Categoria Primera ASat 31 Oct 23:00 UTCEstadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pele

Llaneros FC v Atlético Junior tips

LLALlaneros FCLWLLL
VS
JUNAtlético JuniorWWLDD
The model callAtlético JuniorMatch result2.60★★★★2 stars

Junior arrives with better recent momentum while Llaneros struggles deeply. The away win price offers decent value given the contrasting form guides.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$52
Profit$32
Why it might land
  • Atletico Junior comes into this fixture holding consecutive victories in their last two matches to build solid momentum.
  • Llaneros FC is mired in a poor run of form having lost four of their last five matches overall.
  • The betting market prices Atletico Junior to win at two point six zero which gives us a fair price for the away side.
Why it might not
  • Atletico Junior recorded two draws before their latest wins which shows they can struggle to put away stubborn opponents.
  • Playing away at Estadio Bello Horizonte Rey Pele always presents a difficult test against local conditions.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Llaneros has failed to find consistency in front of goal during their heavy losing run.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides show inconsistent scoring patterns recently so goals might be hard to come by on this ground.

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!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Atlético Junior the side to beat here at 35%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Atlético Junior, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Junior arrives with better recent momentum while Llaneros struggles deeply. The away win price offers decent value given the contrasting form guides.

Form and momentum

Llaneros FC come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Atlético Junior come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 34% for LLA, 31% for the draw and 35% for JUN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.60, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Atletico Junior recorded two draws before their latest wins which shows they can struggle to put away stubborn opponents.
  • Playing away at Estadio Bello Horizonte Rey Pele always presents a difficult test against local conditions.
The bottom line

We back Atlético Junior for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsJUN +160
LLA2.65draw2.95JUN2.60

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

LLALlaneros FC8 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost5
  • Scored9and let in12
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLLL
JUNAtlético Junior7 games on record
Won2
Drawn3
Lost2
  • Scored13and let in11
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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