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Betting tips › Scottish Championship ›  Livingston v Inverness Caledonian Thistle

 Scottish ChampionshipSat 19 Sept 14:00 UTCTony Macaroni ArenaFinished

Livingston v Inverness Caledonian Thistle tips

LIVLivingstonWLLW
2 : 2
ICTInverness Caledonian ThistleWLLDD
The model callLivingstonMatch result1.91★★★★2 starsLost

Livingston look the stronger side for this fixture at the Tony Macaroni Arena because their recent results show they are finding wins while Inverness struggle to pick up three points. The prices give fair value on the home team despite both sides suffering defeats lately.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$38.2
Profit$18.2
Why it might land
  • Livingston grabbed a recent victory in their last four matches which proves they possess the necessary winning edge for this home fixture.
  • Inverness Caledonian Thistle failed to win three of their last four matches including two consecutive draws and two losses on the bounce.
  • The bookmakers offer a price of 1.91 on Livingston to win which gives a solid return for backing the home side on Saturday.
Why it might not
  • Livingston also suffered two defeats in their last four outings which shows they can be vulnerable against determined opponents.
  • Inverness managed a win recently which demonstrates they are capable of causing trouble if they find their best form on the day.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Both teams have been conceding goals regularly across their recent fixtures so expect each side to find the net at least once.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.87Won

The total goals line set at 2.5 offers 1.87 for over, which matches the attacking potential both teams have shown in recent weeks.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Livingston the side to beat here at 49%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Livingston, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Livingston look the stronger side for this fixture at the Tony Macaroni Arena because their recent results show they are finding wins while Inverness struggle to pick up three points. The prices give fair value on the home team despite both sides suffering defeats lately.

Form and momentum

Livingston come in solid, winning 50% of 4 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Inverness Caledonian Thistle come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 49% for LIV, 27% for the draw and 25% for ICT once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Livingston, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Livingston also suffered two defeats in their last four outings which shows they can be vulnerable against determined opponents.
  • Inverness managed a win recently which demonstrates they are capable of causing trouble if they find their best form on the day.
The bottom line

We back Livingston for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsLIV -110
LIV1.91draw3.50ICT3.75

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

LIVLivingston4 games on record
Won2
Drawn0
Lost2
  • Scored6and let in3
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLW
ICTInverness Caledonian Thistle5 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored5and let in7
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Livingston vs Inverness, are the hosts worth backing?

The site model fancies Livingston at home since their recent form is slightly better than Inverness. They do have two losses in their last four matches though which shows they can struggle against stu...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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