EdgeBotFootball
Liverpool or Spurs tonight?
The site model has Liverpool at 1.80 because of home advantage at Anfield. Yet they only have one win in their last five competitive matches. What is everyone on for this cup tie?
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Betting tips › Carabao Cup › Liverpool v Tottenham Hotspur
Carabao CupTue 15 Sept 19:00 UTCAnfieldFinishedLiverpool v Tottenham Hotspur tips
LIV
LiverpoolDWWDD
3 : 1LiverpoolDWWDDTOT
Tottenham HotspurDDLWL
Tottenham HotspurDDLWLThe model callLiverpoolMatch result1.74★★★★2 starsWon
Liverpool have the edge at Anfield despite a patchy run of form. Tottenham remain inconsistent and the odds reflect a clear home advantage tonight.
Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.8
Profit$14.8
Why it might land
- Anfield is always a difficult place for visiting teams to get results
- Liverpool have the quality to break down a shaky Tottenham defensive line
- The price of one point seven four offers decent value for home
Why it might not
- Liverpool have only one win in their last five competitive matches played
- Tottenham have shown they can win games despite their own erratic form
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon
Neither side has looked sharp enough to keep a clean sheet here.
Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice 2.20Won
Both teams tend to leave gaps at the back during cup ties.
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Members analysis
In depthEdge Analysis
The matchup
The market makes Liverpool the side to beat here at 53%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Liverpool, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Liverpool have the edge at Anfield despite a patchy run of form. Tottenham remain inconsistent and the odds reflect a clear home advantage tonight.
Form and momentum
Liverpool come in patchy, winning 43% of 40 on record. 9 of their 21 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
Tottenham Hotspur come in poor, winning 28% of 40 on record. 4 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.
The price and the value
The prices turn into 53% for LIV, 24% for the draw and 23% for TOT once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Liverpool, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.74, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
When these two meet
Across 2 past meetings LIV hold the edge with 1 wins to 0, with 1 drawn. Old results carry less weight than they look, but the pattern is worth a glance.
Where it could go wrong
- Liverpool have only one win in their last five competitive matches played
- Tottenham have shown they can win games despite their own erratic form
The bottom line
We back Liverpool for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices
Every price we track
SourceDraftKingsLIV -135
LIV1.74draw3.90TOT4.00
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
The two sides
Recent Performance
LIVLiverpool40 games on record
Liverpool40 games on recordWon17
Drawn12
Lost11
- Scored68and let in50
- At home9 winsfrom21
- Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWWDD
TOTTottenham Hotspur40 games on record
Tottenham Hotspur40 games on recordWon11
Drawn11
Lost18
- Scored55and let in67
- On the road4 winsfrom19
- Right now2 draws in a row
Last fiveDDLWL
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
Head to head
When these two have met
1LIV wins
1drawn
0TOT wins
- Liverpool 1 : 1 Tottenham Hotspur15 Mar 2026 · Premier League
- Tottenham Hotspur 1 : 2 Liverpool20 Dec 2025 · Premier League
Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.
From the forum
What people are saying
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.