Betting tips › Carabao Cup › Liverpool v Chelsea
Carabao CupWed 28 Oct 20:00 UTCAnfieldLiverpool v Chelsea tips
LiverpoolWWDWW
ChelseaLDWLWExpect goals at Anfield because both sides have been trading wins and losses recently. The price on over 1.57 makes sense with these attacks.
- Liverpool come into this match at Anfield having put together a strong run of four wins and one draw in their recent results.
- Chelsea arrive on Merseyside following a mixed run of form that includes two defeats and a draw alongside two recent victories.
- The bookmakers price over 1.57 on the total goals line at 2.5 which suggests the market expects a busy night on Wednesday.
- Chelsea did suffer a recent loss which shows they can stumble defensively against tough opposition away from home.
- Liverpool recorded a draw in their recent matches which proves they can sometimes be held by stubborn opponents.
Chelsea and Liverpool both have enough recent scoring form to find the net at Anfield.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Edge Analysis
The market makes Chelsea the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Expect goals at Anfield because both sides have been trading wins and losses recently. The price on over 1.57 makes sense with these attacks.
Liverpool come in solid, winning 48% of 40 on record. 10 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.
Chelsea come in patchy, winning 38% of 40 on record. 6 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
The prices turn into 35% for LIV, 27% for the draw and 38% for CHE once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.57, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Across 2 past meetings CHE have had the better of it, 1 wins to 0, with 1 drawn. Squads change, so read it as colour rather than proof.
- Chelsea did suffer a recent loss which shows they can stumble defensively against tough opposition away from home.
- Liverpool recorded a draw in their recent matches which proves they can sometimes be held by stubborn opponents.
We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Every price we track
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Recent Performance
Liverpool40 games on record- Scored71and let in44
- At home10 winsfrom20
- Right now2 wins in a row
Chelsea40 games on record- Scored65and let in68
- On the road6 winsfrom20
- Right now1 loss in a row
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
When these two have met
- Liverpool 1 : 1 Chelsea9 May 2026 · Premier League
- Chelsea 2 : 1 Liverpool4 Oct 2025 · Premier League
Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.