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Betting tips › Championship ›  Lincoln City v Burnley

 ChampionshipSat 24 Oct 14:00 UTCLNER Stadium

Lincoln City v Burnley tips

LCNLincoln CityLWWLD
VS
BURBurnleyDLDLD
The model callBurnleyMatch result2.30★★★★1 star

Burnley come to the LNER Stadium as favourites despite some patchy form. Lincoln are inconsistent at home and might struggle against a side priced at 2.30.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$23
Profit$13
Why it might land
  • Burnley are priced at 2.30 to win this match which gives them the edge in the betting market according to the odds provided.
  • Lincoln City head into this fixture with mixed momentum after suffering defeats in their recent run of form.
  • Burnley operate at a level where their squad depth can trouble teams like Lincoln over ninety minutes of Championship football.
Why it might not
  • Burnley have failed to find a win in their last five matches after picking up draws and losses in succession.
  • Lincoln City return to home turf where they have proven they can secure results when least expected.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams concede goals regularly enough in their recent outings to suggest both might find the net.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown low scoring tendencies in their recent matches which points towards a tight game.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Burnley the side to beat here at 41%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Burnley, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Burnley come to the LNER Stadium as favourites despite some patchy form. Lincoln are inconsistent at home and might struggle against a side priced at 2.30.

Form and momentum

Lincoln City come in strong, winning 63% of 40 on record. 13 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Burnley come in poor, winning 8% of 40 on record. 2 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 32% for LCN, 26% for the draw and 41% for BUR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Burnley have failed to find a win in their last five matches after picking up draws and losses in succession.
  • Lincoln City return to home turf where they have proven they can secure results when least expected.
The bottom line

We back Burnley for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
LCN3.00draw3.40BUR2.25
SourceDraftKingsBUR +130
LCN2.95draw3.60BUR2.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

LCNLincoln City40 games on record
Won25
Drawn8
Lost7
  • Scored72and let in39
  • At home13 winsfrom19
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWLD
BURBurnley40 games on record
Won3
Drawn14
Lost23
  • Scored40and let in77
  • On the road2 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLDLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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