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Betting tips › Eliteserien ›  Lillestrom v Molde

 EliteserienSun 11 Oct 17:15 UTCArasen Stadion

Lillestrom v Molde tips

LSKLillestromLLWWL
VS
MOLMoldeLWWWW
The model callMoldeMatch result2.05★★★★2 stars

Molde arrive at Arasen Stadion in brilliant form with four consecutive victories while Lillestrom have slipped to consecutive defeats. The away price of 2.05 gives us a fair entry on the team with all the momentum.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$41
Profit$21
Why it might land
  • Molde march into this fixture on the back of four straight wins in their most recent outings according to the league form guide.
  • Lillestrom have suffered defeats in their last two matches which suggests their momentum has hit a serious speed bump.
  • The market price of 2.05 on the away side offers decent value for a team winning four matches in a row.
Why it might not
  • Lillestrom managed to win two matches immediately before their current two game losing streak so they can occasionally string results together.
  • Playing away at Arasen Stadion is traditionally tough and Molde did lose one of their last five matches to keep things interesting.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown enough mixed defensive results recently for each team to find the net.

Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice 1.87

The total line sits at 3.5 goals with the over priced at 1.87 in what could be an open match.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Molde the side to beat here at 45%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Molde, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Molde arrive at Arasen Stadion in brilliant form with four consecutive victories while Lillestrom have slipped to consecutive defeats. The away price of 2.05 gives us a fair entry on the team with all the momentum.

Form and momentum

Lillestrom come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Molde come in strong, winning 67% of 6 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 31% for LSK, 24% for the draw and 45% for MOL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Molde, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.05, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Lillestrom managed to win two matches immediately before their current two game losing streak so they can occasionally string results together.
  • Playing away at Arasen Stadion is traditionally tough and Molde did lose one of their last five matches to keep things interesting.
The bottom line

We back Molde for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsMOL +105
LSK2.95draw3.90MOL2.05

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

LSKLillestrom7 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored7and let in13
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWWL
MOLMolde6 games on record
Won4
Drawn0
Lost2
  • Scored16and let in10
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Molde away at Lillestrom. Backing the form?

Molde arrive on a four game winning run while Lillestrom have lost their last two. Lillestrom did win the two matches before that slump so they can string results together sometimes. The site model ca...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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