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Betting tips › Primera Division ›  Libertad v Club Olimpia

 Primera DivisionMon 28 Sept 22:15 UTCEstadio Tigo La Huerta

Libertad v Club Olimpia tips

LIBLibertadDWWLD
VS
OLIClub OlimpiaWWWDW
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.87★★★★2 stars

Olimpia arrives in strong scoring form with four wins from their last five matches. Libertad plays at home on this ground and both sides should push for goals.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$37.4
Profit$17.4
Why it might land
  • Club Olimpia brings a formidable run of four wins and one draw into this fixture.
  • The total goals line is set at 2.5 with a price of 1.87 on the over option.
  • Libertad plays this match at home on their own ground at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.
Why it might not
  • Libertad recently recorded two draws and a loss in their last five matches.
  • The under market sits at a shorter price of 1.77 which suggests a tight contest.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both squads carry enough attacking momentum to find the net during the ninety minutes.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Club Olimpia the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Olimpia arrives in strong scoring form with four wins from their last five matches. Libertad plays at home on this ground and both sides should push for goals.

Form and momentum

Libertad come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Club Olimpia come in strong, winning 83% of 6 on record. 3 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 33% for LIB, 29% for the draw and 38% for OLI once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.87, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Libertad recently recorded two draws and a loss in their last five matches.
  • The under market sits at a shorter price of 1.77 which suggests a tight contest.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsOLI +135
LIB2.75draw3.10OLI2.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

LIBLibertad6 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored9and let in7
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWWLD
OLIClub Olimpia6 games on record
Won5
Drawn1
Lost0
  • Scored13and let in4
  • On the road3 winsfrom3
  • Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Libertad or Olimpia on Friday?

Olimpia comes here with four wins from their last five and strong scoring form. Libertad has home advantage and both teams should push for goals. The counter argument is that Libertad managed only two...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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