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Betting tips › LigaPro ›  Libertad (Ecuador) v Guayaquil City FC

 LigaProSun 18 Oct 18:00 UTC

Libertad (Ecuador) v Guayaquil City FC tips

LIBLibertad (Ecuador)WLWDL
VS
GCFGuayaquil City FCDWLLW
The model callLibertad (Ecuador)Match result1.87★★★★1 star

Libertad have home advantage and a slightly better recent win record than Guayaquil City. The price of 1.87 gives us enough room to try a small wager on the hosts.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$18.7
Profit$8.7
Why it might land
  • Libertad come into this fixture holding a mixed form line that includes recent wins against losses and a draw in their last five matches.
  • Guayaquil City FC are struggling for consistency on the road after picking up two losses and a draw alongside their two recent victories.
  • The bookmakers price Libertad at 1.87 to win this match which offers a reasonable return for a home side with this specific run of results.
Why it might not
  • Libertad have also suffered two defeats in their last five outings which shows they can be quite vulnerable against decent opposition.
  • Guayaquil City FC managed to win two of their last five matches and could easily spring a surprise if the hosts fail to perform.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams show erratic form which makes predicting goals at both ends very hard.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no total goals pricing available so it is best to stay cautious on this market.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Libertad (Ecuador) the side to beat here at 49%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Libertad (Ecuador), and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Libertad have home advantage and a slightly better recent win record than Guayaquil City. The price of 1.87 gives us enough room to try a small wager on the hosts.

Form and momentum

Libertad (Ecuador) come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Guayaquil City FC come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 49% for LIB, 28% for the draw and 24% for GCF once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Libertad (Ecuador), so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.87, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Libertad have also suffered two defeats in their last five outings which shows they can be quite vulnerable against decent opposition.
  • Guayaquil City FC managed to win two of their last five matches and could easily spring a surprise if the hosts fail to perform.
The bottom line

We back Libertad (Ecuador) for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsLIB -115
LIB1.87draw3.25GCF3.85

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

LIBLibertad (Ecuador)6 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored7and let in6
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWDL
GCFGuayaquil City FC6 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored12and let in10
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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