The matchupThe market makes Bradford City the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Bradford City, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Bradford City arrive as favourites at the Gaughan Group Stadium. Both sides show mixed recent form in their matches.
Form and momentumLeyton Orient come in patchy, winning 33% of 40 on record. 7 of their 18 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
Bradford City come in patchy, winning 43% of 40 on record. 5 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
The price and the valueThe prices turn into 32% for LEY, 28% for the draw and 39% for BRD once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.20, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
When these two meetThese two have been level across 2 past meetings, 1 wins each and 0 drawn. Nothing in the history separates them.
Where it could go wrong- Leyton Orient have enough recent wins to cause an upset here.
- Away form can be tricky in cup matches away from home.
The bottom lineWe back Bradford City for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.