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Betting tips › USL Championship ›  Lexington v El Paso Locomotive FC

 USL ChampionshipSat 3 Oct 23:00 UTCLexington Stadium

Lexington v El Paso Locomotive FC tips

LEXLexingtonWWWLL
VS
ELPEl Paso Locomotive FCDWWWW
The model callEl Paso Locomotive FCMatch result3.05★★★★1 star

El Paso arrives on a fantastic winning run and offers a decent price to take three points away from home. Lexington sits at home but recent losses suggest they might struggle against such strong momentum.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$30.5
Profit$20.5
Why it might land
  • El Paso Locomotive FC enters this match with four wins and a draw from their last five matches.
  • El Paso Locomotive FC is priced at 3.05 to win this match away from home against Lexington.
  • Lexington comes into this fixture having lost their most recent two matches in the league.
Why it might not
  • Lexington put together three wins in a row before their recent losses which shows they can win matches.
  • Lexington plays this fixture at home inside Lexington Stadium which can always give the hosts an edge.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides show decent scoring form in their recent results which points towards goals at both ends.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.61

The price of 1.61 on over 2.5 goals suggests a high scoring match is very likely here.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Lexington the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on El Paso Locomotive FC, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. El Paso arrives on a fantastic winning run and offers a decent price to take three points away from home. Lexington sits at home but recent losses suggest they might struggle against such strong momentum.

Form and momentum

Lexington come in solid, winning 57% of 7 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.

El Paso Locomotive FC come in strong, winning 83% of 6 on record. 3 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 46% for LEX, 25% for the draw and 29% for ELP once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Lexington, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 3.05, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Lexington put together three wins in a row before their recent losses which shows they can win matches.
  • Lexington plays this fixture at home inside Lexington Stadium which can always give the hosts an edge.
The bottom line

We back El Paso Locomotive FC for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsLEX -105
LEX1.95draw3.55ELP3.05

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

LEXLexington7 games on record
Won4
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored18and let in9
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWLL
ELPEl Paso Locomotive FC6 games on record
Won5
Drawn1
Lost0
  • Scored13and let in5
  • On the road3 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

El Paso away at Lexington any good?

El Paso comes here on a great winning run and the site model likes them at three decimal zero five. Lexington lost a few recently though they did win three straight before that. What are you lot backi...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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