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Betting tips › LigaPro ›  Leones v Libertad (Ecuador)

 LigaProSun 25 Oct 18:00 UTC

Leones v Libertad (Ecuador) tips

LEONLeonesDLDWL
VS
LIBLibertad (Ecuador)WLWDL
The model callLeonesMatch result2.00★★★★2 stars

Leones play at home and the market prices them nicely at two point zero to win this match. Their recent run shows mixed results including a win and draws, giving them a fair chance against Libertad.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$40
Profit$20
Why it might land
  • Leones play this fixture at home where the market offers a fair price of two point zero for them to secure the win.
  • The recent form for Leones features a mixed bag of results including a solid win and two draws from their last five outings.
  • Libertad arrives with an inconsistent recent run of form that includes two losses and a draw in their last five matches.
Why it might not
  • Leones recently suffered two losses in their last five matches which shows they can be vulnerable at the back.
  • Libertad managed to pick up two wins in their last five outings and could easily cause problems for the home side.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Leones and Libertad have both traded wins and losses recently pointing toward both sides finding the net.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams show mixed defensive form in their recent results so goals could happen.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Leones the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Leones, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Leones play at home and the market prices them nicely at two point zero to win this match. Their recent run shows mixed results including a win and draws, giving them a fair chance against Libertad.

Form and momentum

Leones come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Libertad (Ecuador) come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 46% for LEON, 28% for the draw and 26% for LIB once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Leones, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.00, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Leones recently suffered two losses in their last five matches which shows they can be vulnerable at the back.
  • Libertad managed to pick up two wins in their last five outings and could easily cause problems for the home side.
The bottom line

We back Leones for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsLEON +100
LEON2.00draw3.25LIB3.45

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

LEONLeones6 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost3
  • Scored6and let in8
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLDWL
LIBLibertad (Ecuador)6 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored7and let in6
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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