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Betting tips › Champions League ›  Lens v Sporting CP

 Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct 16:45 UTCStade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens v Sporting CP tips

RCLLensLDWLL
VS
SCPSporting CPDDWWW
The model callSporting CPMatch result2.70★★★★2 stars

Sporting arrive in better shape with three straight wins behind them while Lens struggle for consistency. The price of 2.70 on the visitors offers decent value given recent form.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$54
Profit$34
Why it might land
  • Sporting enter this fixture on a strong run after securing three consecutive wins in their most recent matches.
  • Lens have found life difficult lately with three losses from their last five outings across all competitions.
  • The available price of 2.70 for Sporting to win provides a very fair return on the away side.
Why it might not
  • Sporting did record two recent draws which shows they can sometimes struggle to put stubborn opponents away.
  • Lens will have home advantage at the Stade Bollaert Delelis which often helps them lift their performance.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides possess enough quality in the final third to find the net during this clash.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.54

The price of 1.54 for over 2.5 goals suggests a higher scoring match is expected here.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Lens the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Sporting CP, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Sporting arrive in better shape with three straight wins behind them while Lens struggle for consistency. The price of 2.70 on the visitors offers decent value given recent form.

Form and momentum

Lens come in strong, winning 60% of 40 on record. 15 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Sporting CP come in strong, winning 65% of 40 on record. 9 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 40% for RCL, 25% for the draw and 35% for SCP once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.70, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Sporting did record two recent draws which shows they can sometimes struggle to put stubborn opponents away.
  • Lens will have home advantage at the Stade Bollaert Delelis which often helps them lift their performance.
The bottom line

We back Sporting CP for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
RCL2.50draw3.70SCP2.50
SourceDraftKingsRCL +135
RCL2.35draw3.70SCP2.70

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

RCLLens40 games on record
Won24
Drawn5
Lost11
  • Scored78and let in46
  • At home15 winsfrom19
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDWLL
SCPSporting CP40 games on record
Won26
Drawn10
Lost4
  • Scored98and let in38
  • On the road9 winsfrom19
  • Right now2 draws in a row
Last fiveDDWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Sporting at Lens tonight?

Sporting come here with three straight wins while Lens look short of form. The site model likes the away price at 2.70. They did draw two recent games though so stubborn sides can slow them down. What...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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