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Betting tips › LaLiga 2 ›  Leganés v Castellón

 LaLiga 2Mon 28 Sept 18:30 UTCEstadio Municipal de Butarque

Leganés v Castellón tips

LEGLeganésWLDWW
VS
CASCastellónWWWWD
The model callCastellónMatch result2.30★★★★2 stars

Castellon arrive in sparkling form and offer a very fair price to beat a decent Leganes side. The visitors look too strong on current momentum.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$46
Profit$26
Why it might land
  • Castellon enter this match with four wins and a draw from their last five outings showing remarkable consistency.
  • The bookmakers offer a tempting price of 2.30 for Castellon to win given their recent run of results.
  • Leganes have won three of their last five matches but they also suffered a defeat which leaves some room for doubt.
Why it might not
  • Leganes play at home at the Estadio Municipal de Butarque where they are always tough opponents for anyone in the league.
  • Leganes picked up two wins in a row before this fixture which proves they can put together a solid winning sequence.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Given the recent winning runs of both clubs it is very likely that each side will manage to find the back of the net.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.87

Both teams bring strong scoring form into this clash which points towards more than two goals being scored.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Castellón the side to beat here at 41%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Castellón, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Castellon arrive in sparkling form and offer a very fair price to beat a decent Leganes side. The visitors look too strong on current momentum.

Form and momentum

Leganés come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 2 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Castellón come in strong, winning 83% of 6 on record. 3 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 4 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 31% for LEG, 28% for the draw and 41% for CAS once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Leganes play at home at the Estadio Municipal de Butarque where they are always tough opponents for anyone in the league.
  • Leganes picked up two wins in a row before this fixture which proves they can put together a solid winning sequence.
The bottom line

We back Castellón for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCAS +130
LEG3.10draw3.35CAS2.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

LEGLeganés6 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored6and let in5
  • At home2 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDWW
CASCastellón6 games on record
Won5
Drawn1
Lost0
  • Scored12and let in2
  • On the road3 winsfrom3
  • Right now4 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Leganes or Castellon today?

The site model fancies Castellon at two thirty because of their sparkling form. But Leganes are always tough opponents at home at the Estadio Municipal de Butarque. What are you all on for this match?

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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