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Betting tips › Serie A ›  Lecce v Monza

 Serie ASun 13 Sept 13:00 UTCVia Del MareFinished

Lecce v Monza tips

LECLecceLLWWW
3 : 2
MONMonzaDWLL
The model callLecceMatch result2.20★★★★2 starsWon

Lecce look the better side here after winning three of their last five. Monza are struggling early on and lack any real momentum right now.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$44
Profit$24
Why it might land
  • Lecce have won three of their five most recent matches this season
  • The home crowd at Via Del Mare usually gives Lecce an advantage
  • Monza have lost both of their opening games during this short stretch
Why it might not
  • The price of two point two zero is not great value here
  • Lecce lost their last game so their form is not perfectly steady
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Monza need a response after recent defeats and both sides should find the net.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 2.20Won

Lecce won three on the bounce recently and the price for goals looks too big to ignore.

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!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Lecce the side to beat here at 36%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Lecce, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Lecce look the better side here after winning three of their last five. Monza are struggling early on and lack any real momentum right now.

Form and momentum

Lecce come in poor, winning 28% of 40 on record. 5 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Monza come in poor, winning 25% of 4 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 36% for LEC, 31% for the draw and 33% for MON once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.20, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • The price of two point two zero is not great value here
  • Lecce lost their last game so their form is not perfectly steady
The bottom line

We back Lecce for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
LEC2.70draw3.10MON2.80
SourceDraftKingsLEC +160
LEC2.60draw2.95MON2.80

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

LECLecce40 games on record
Won11
Drawn7
Lost22
  • Scored30and let in55
  • At home5 winsfrom20
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWWW
MONMonza4 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored5and let in8
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Lecce v Monza, any love for the hosts?

Lecce look the better side here after winning three of their last five. Monza are struggling early on and lack any real momentum right now. The model makes Lecce the call. Some folks might say the pri...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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