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Betting tips › Serie A ›  Lecce v Bologna

 Serie ASun 11 Oct 13:00 UTCVia Del Mare

Lecce v Bologna tips

LECLecceLWLLW
VS
BOLBolognaDLDLL
The model callUnder 2.5Total goals1.77★★★★2 stars

Bologna struggle for wins and goals right now while Lecce trade wins with defeats. Expect a tight low scoring game at the Via Del Mare.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$35.4
Profit$15.4
Why it might land
  • Bologna bring a poor scoring run into this match after picking up three losses and two draws in their last five fixtures.
  • Lecce show erratic form with three losses balanced by two wins in their most recent five matches of the season.
  • The bookmakers offer a generous price of 1.77 on under 2.5 total goals given the recent low scoring trends of both sides.
Why it might not
  • Lecce play at home on this ground where surprises can happen despite their inconsistent sequence of recent results.
  • Bologna sit as favourites priced at 1.87 to win which suggests the away side could suddenly find their scoring touch.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Bologna have struggled to find the back of the net consistently across their last five games.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Bologna the side to beat here at 49%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Under 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Bologna struggle for wins and goals right now while Lecce trade wins with defeats. Expect a tight low scoring game at the Via Del Mare.

Form and momentum

Lecce come in poor, winning 30% of 40 on record. 6 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Bologna come in patchy, winning 38% of 40 on record. 10 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 23% for LEC, 28% for the draw and 49% for BOL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Bologna, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.77, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

Across 2 past meetings BOL have had the better of it, 1 wins to 0, with 1 drawn. Squads change, so read it as colour rather than proof.

Where it could go wrong
  • Lecce play at home on this ground where surprises can happen despite their inconsistent sequence of recent results.
  • Bologna sit as favourites priced at 1.87 to win which suggests the away side could suddenly find their scoring touch.
The bottom line

We back Under 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
LEC4.33draw3.40BOL1.91
SourceDraftKingsBOL -115
LEC3.95draw3.20BOL1.87

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

LECLecce40 games on record
Won12
Drawn7
Lost21
  • Scored32and let in54
  • At home6 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLLW
BOLBologna40 games on record
Won15
Drawn10
Lost15
  • Scored51and let in50
  • On the road10 winsfrom19
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLDLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

0LEC wins
1drawn
1BOL wins
  • Bologna 2 : 0 Lecce12 Apr 2026 · Serie A
  • Lecce 2 : 2 Bologna28 Sept 2025 · Serie A

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Lecce vs Bologna: Low scoring draw on the cards?

Bologna lack goals right now and Lecce just trade wins with defeats so a tight low scoring game looks likely at the Via Del Mare. Then again Lecce are at home where surprises always happen despite the...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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