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Betting tips › Liga MX ›  León v Atlético de San Luis

 Liga MXTue 15 Sept 01:00 UTCEstadio LeónFinished

León v Atlético de San Luis tips

LEOLeónLDWW
2 : 0
ASLAtlético de San LuisLWDL
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.71★★★★2 starsLost

We should see plenty of goalmouth action at Estadio León because both sides have shown mixed defensive form recently. The price of 1.71 on over two point five goals offers a decent path forward.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.2
Profit$14.2
Why it might land
  • The total goals line sits at two point five with the over priced at a healthy one point seven one in the market.
  • Leon comes into this fixture after a mixed run of results that includes two recent losses alongside two wins.
  • Atletico de San Luis arrives following a sequence featuring a loss and a win and a draw in their latest matches.
Why it might not
  • Atletico de San Luis might keep things tight after losing their most recent outing in the league table.
  • Leon suffered a defeat in their latest match which could make them cautious about pushing too many bodies forward.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookLost

Both squads have traded wins and losses lately which suggests defensive vulnerabilities at Estadio Leon.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes León the side to beat here at 53%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We should see plenty of goalmouth action at Estadio León because both sides have shown mixed defensive form recently. The price of 1.71 on over two point five goals offers a decent path forward.

Form and momentum

León come in solid, winning 50% of 4 on record. 1 of their 1 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Atlético de San Luis come in poor, winning 25% of 4 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 53% for LEO, 24% for the draw and 22% for ASL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward León, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.71, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Atletico de San Luis might keep things tight after losing their most recent outing in the league table.
  • Leon suffered a defeat in their latest match which could make them cautious about pushing too many bodies forward.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsLEO -130
LEO1.77draw3.90ASL4.20

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

LEOLeón4 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored6and let in5
  • At home1 winsfrom1
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDWW
ASLAtlético de San Luis4 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored4and let in8
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Goals in Leon versus San Luis?

The site model calls the draw here. We should see goals because both defences look dodgy lately and over two point five is priced at 171. San Luis might shut up shop though after losing their last mat...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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