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Betting tips › Liga MX ›  León v América

 Liga MXSun 18 Oct 01:00 UTCEstadio León

León v América tips

LEOLeónWDWLD
VS
AMEAméricaWDLWW
The model callAméricaMatch result2.15★★★★2 stars

America arrives in decent shape with three wins from their last five matches and looks solid value at two point fifteen. Leon plays at home here but their patchy run of form makes it hard to trust them.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$43
Profit$23
Why it might land
  • America comes into this fixture holding three wins and only one defeat from their last five recent results overall.
  • The away side is offered at a very fair price of two point fifteen in the current match market.
  • Leon has struggled to find consistency lately with just two wins alongside two draws and a single loss in their last five matches.
Why it might not
  • Leon will have home advantage at Estadio León and they did manage to win two of their last five matches.
  • America suffered a recent defeat in their last five outings which shows they can be vulnerable on the road.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both Leon and America have shown mixed defensive results across their last five matches.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have enough recent wins to suggest an open game though pricing is unavailable.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes América the side to beat here at 44%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on América, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. America arrives in decent shape with three wins from their last five matches and looks solid value at two point fifteen. Leon plays at home here but their patchy run of form makes it hard to trust them.

Form and momentum

León come in solid, winning 57% of 7 on record. 3 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

América come in strong, winning 67% of 6 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 29% for LEO, 27% for the draw and 44% for AME once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward América, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Leon will have home advantage at Estadio León and they did manage to win two of their last five matches.
  • America suffered a recent defeat in their last five outings which shows they can be vulnerable on the road.
The bottom line

We back América for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsAME +115
LEO3.20draw3.50AME2.15

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

LEOLeón7 games on record
Won4
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored11and let in7
  • At home3 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWLD
AMEAmérica6 games on record
Won4
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored16and let in9
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDLWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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