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Betting tips › LaLiga 2 ›  Las Palmas v Real Valladolid

 LaLiga 2Sun 4 Oct 16:30 UTCEstadio Gran Canaria

Las Palmas v Real Valladolid tips

LPALas PalmasLLWDL
VS
VLLReal ValladolidWDLWD
The model callLas PalmasMatch result2.15★★★★1 star

Las Palmas return to their home ground hoping to bounce back quickly despite a tough run of recent results. Real Valladolid arrive with slightly better form but face a tricky test at Estadio Gran Canaria.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$21.5
Profit$11.5
Why it might land
  • Las Palmas are playing at home where they will try to improve after recording three losses in their last five matches.
  • The price of 2.15 on Las Palmas to win offers decent value for punters who trust home advantage in this league.
  • Real Valladolid have been inconsistent on the road recently with mixed results including a draw and a defeat.
Why it might not
  • Las Palmas come into this fixture on the back of two consecutive defeats which raises serious questions about their current momentum.
  • Real Valladolid bring a somewhat steadier run of form into the match featuring two wins and two draws from their last five outings.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Both teams to score looks risky given the unpredictable nature of recent results and low scoring patterns.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.71

Backing under 2.5 goals makes sense because neither side has shown explosive scoring form in their recent matches.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Las Palmas the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Las Palmas, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Las Palmas return to their home ground hoping to bounce back quickly despite a tough run of recent results. Real Valladolid arrive with slightly better form but face a tricky test at Estadio Gran Canaria.

Form and momentum

Las Palmas come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Real Valladolid come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 43% for LPA, 29% for the draw and 28% for VLL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Las Palmas, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Las Palmas come into this fixture on the back of two consecutive defeats which raises serious questions about their current momentum.
  • Real Valladolid bring a somewhat steadier run of form into the match featuring two wins and two draws from their last five outings.
The bottom line

We back Las Palmas for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsLPA +115
LPA2.15draw3.15VLL3.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

LPALas Palmas7 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored10and let in11
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWDL
VLLReal Valladolid7 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost3
  • Scored6and let in9
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDLWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Las Palmas or Valladolid?

The site model has Las Palmas at 2.15 to bounce back at home. They have lost two on the bounce now though so momentum is a big worry. Valladolid come here with better recent form. What are you all on ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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