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Betting tips › LaLiga 2 ›  Las Palmas v Burgos

 LaLiga 2Sun 20 Sept 16:30 UTCEstadio Gran CanariaFinished

Las Palmas v Burgos tips

LPALas PalmasWDLWW
1 : 2
BURBurgosWDDLW
The model callLas PalmasMatch result2.05★★★★2 starsLost

Las Palmas return to their home ground with three wins from their last five matches and look well priced here. Burgos bring decent form into this fixture but struggle on the road against stronger opponents.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$41
Profit$21
Why it might land
  • Las Palmas have secured three victories in their last five outings to show they are finding some strong momentum right now.
  • The home side are priced at two point zero five which offers fair value given their recent run of three wins from five matches.
  • Burgos managed just one win in their last five games while picking up two draws and a defeat along the way.
Why it might not
  • Burgos proved they are tough to beat recently by grabbing two draws during their last five matches in the division.
  • Las Palmas suffered a defeat recently in their five game run which proves they can slip up when least expected.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by bookLost

Burgos have shown they can struggle for goals on their travels making both teams scoring look unlikely.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.63Lost

Under two point five goals is priced at one point six three which reflects how tight these Segunda matches usually turn out.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Las Palmas the side to beat here at 45%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Las Palmas, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Las Palmas return to their home ground with three wins from their last five matches and look well priced here. Burgos bring decent form into this fixture but struggle on the road against stronger opponents.

Form and momentum

Las Palmas come in strong, winning 60% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Burgos come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 45% for LPA, 32% for the draw and 23% for BUR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Las Palmas, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.05, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Burgos proved they are tough to beat recently by grabbing two draws during their last five matches in the division.
  • Las Palmas suffered a defeat recently in their five game run which proves they can slip up when least expected.
The bottom line

We back Las Palmas for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsLPA +105
LPA2.05draw2.90BUR4.10

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

LPALas Palmas5 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored7and let in6
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDLWW
BURBurgos5 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored8and let in6
  • On the road0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDDLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Las Palmas vs Burgos thoughts?

Las Palmas are back at home and the site model fancies them at two point zero five based on recent form. Burgos have been hard to beat lately with a couple of draws though. Are the visitors too stubbo...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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