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Betting tips › Super League ›  Kifisia v Aris

 Super LeagueSun 18 Oct 17:00 UTCApostolos Nikolaidis

Kifisia v Aris tips

KIFKifisiaWDLLD
VS
ARIArisDLLWW
The model callArisMatch result2.30★★★★2 stars

Aris arrive with back to back wins that point them past a shaky Kifisia side. The away price of 2.30 gives us enough room to back the visitors on Sunday.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$46
Profit$26
Why it might land
  • Aris secured two wins in their last two matches to build some momentum before this trip to the Apostolos Nikolaidis.
  • Kifisia head into this fixture after failing to win their last three outings with two draws and one loss.
  • The bookmakers offer Aris at a decent 2.30 to win which makes backing the visitors an appealing option here.
Why it might not
  • Aris suffered two defeats just before their latest winning run which shows they can be vulnerable on the road.
  • Kifisia managed to draw two of their last five matches including a recent stalemate that proves they can frustrate opponents.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown mixed defensive form lately which suggests we might see goals at both ends.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no prices for the goal lines so it is hard to find any real value on totals here.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Aris the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Aris, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Aris arrive with back to back wins that point them past a shaky Kifisia side. The away price of 2.30 gives us enough room to back the visitors on Sunday.

Form and momentum

Kifisia come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 0 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Aris come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 32% for KIF, 28% for the draw and 40% for ARI once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Aris suffered two defeats just before their latest winning run which shows they can be vulnerable on the road.
  • Kifisia managed to draw two of their last five matches including a recent stalemate that proves they can frustrate opponents.
The bottom line

We back Aris for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsARI +130
KIF2.90draw3.35ARI2.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

KIFKifisia5 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored4and let in7
  • At home0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDLLD
ARIAris5 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored5and let in10
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Kifisia v Aris on Sunday. Anyone on the away win?

The site model has Aris at 2.30 because they come here with two wins while Kifisia look shaky. At the same time, Aris lost their two matches right before that run which proves they can struggle on the...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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