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Betting tips › National League ›  Kidderminster Harriers v Worthing

 National LeagueSat 24 Oct 16:30 UTCAggborough Stadium

Kidderminster Harriers v Worthing tips

KIDKidderminster HarriersLDWWW
VS
WORWorthingWWWDD
The model callWorthingMatch result2.45★★★★2 stars

Worthing arrive in stronger momentum and the away price of 2.45 offers enough value to back them. Kidderminster have hit a patch of dropped points in their last two outings despite a prior winning run.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$49
Profit$29
Why it might land
  • Worthing bring an unbeaten run into this fixture after taking three wins and two draws from their last five matches.
  • Kidderminster Harriers suffered a defeat in their most recent outing to interrupt a previously strong sequence of results.
  • The bookmakers offer a tempting price of 2.45 on the visitors to win this National League match at Aggborough Stadium.
Why it might not
  • Kidderminster Harriers won three matches in a row just before their recent dip in form at this level.
  • Worthing have had to settle for a draw in two of their last five fixtures which shows they can be pegged back.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides show decent recent form which suggests each team can find the net during the ninety minutes.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

The data does not give enough goal scoring details to back a high scoring match with any real certainty.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Worthing the side to beat here at 37%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Worthing, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Worthing arrive in stronger momentum and the away price of 2.45 offers enough value to back them. Kidderminster have hit a patch of dropped points in their last two outings despite a prior winning run.

Form and momentum

Kidderminster Harriers come in solid, winning 50% of 10 on record. 3 of their 6 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Worthing come in solid, winning 50% of 10 on record. 2 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 36% for KID, 27% for the draw and 37% for WOR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.45, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Kidderminster Harriers won three matches in a row just before their recent dip in form at this level.
  • Worthing have had to settle for a draw in two of their last five fixtures which shows they can be pegged back.
The bottom line

We back Worthing for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsWOR +145
KID2.50draw3.40WOR2.45

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

KIDKidderminster Harriers10 games on record
Won5
Drawn3
Lost2
  • Scored13and let in8
  • At home3 winsfrom6
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDWWW
WORWorthing10 games on record
Won5
Drawn2
Lost3
  • Scored19and let in16
  • On the road2 winsfrom4
  • Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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