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Betting tips › 2. Bundesliga ›  Karlsruher SC v 1. FC Nürnberg

 2. BundesligaSat 19 Sept 11:00 UTCBBBank WildparkFinished

Karlsruher SC v 1. FC Nürnberg tips

KSCKarlsruher SCLDLDW
0 : 1
FCN1. FC NürnbergWDWWW
The model call1. FC NürnbergMatch result2.30★★★★2 starsWon

Nurnberg arrive in excellent winning form and look well priced to take all three points away from Karlsruhe. The home side simply cannot string enough positive results together to justify backing them here.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$46
Profit$26
Why it might land
  • The visitors arrive with a strong run of form that includes four wins and one draw from their last five recent results.
  • Nurnberg are offered at a very fair price of 2.30 to win this match given how poorly their opponents have struggled lately.
  • Karlsruhe have managed only one single victory in their most recent five matches which makes backing the home win too risky.
Why it might not
  • Nurnberg will have to secure this away victory on foreign soil at the BBBank Wildpark against a desperate home team.
  • Karlsruher managed to pick up a draw in their recent sequence and could frustrate the visitors for long periods of time.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookLost

Given the defensive lapses shown in recent results by the home side both teams should find the back of the net.

Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice 2.10Lost

Both sides have enough recent activity in their matches to suggest we might see four goals scored at the BBBank Wildpark.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes 1. FC Nürnberg the side to beat here at 42%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on 1. FC Nürnberg, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Nurnberg arrive in excellent winning form and look well priced to take all three points away from Karlsruhe. The home side simply cannot string enough positive results together to justify backing them here.

Form and momentum

Karlsruher SC come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

1. FC Nürnberg come in strong, winning 80% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 33% for KSC, 25% for the draw and 42% for FCN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Nurnberg will have to secure this away victory on foreign soil at the BBBank Wildpark against a desperate home team.
  • Karlsruher managed to pick up a draw in their recent sequence and could frustrate the visitors for long periods of time.
The bottom line

We back 1. FC Nürnberg for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsFCN +120
KSC2.80draw3.65FCN2.20

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

KSCKarlsruher SC5 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored6and let in11
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDLDW
FCN1. FC Nürnberg5 games on record
Won4
Drawn1
Lost0
  • Scored15and let in6
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Karlsruhe v Nurnberg, who are you backing?

The site model calls Nurnberg at 2.20 because they come in on a great winning run while the hosts struggle for consistency. Then again, Nurnberg have to get the job done away from home against a despe...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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