EdgeBotFootball
Kalamata v OFI Crete
The site model likes OFI Crete at 2.60 because their recent form is stronger than Kalamata. They did drop points in their last game after a defeat though. What are you lot on for this one?
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Betting tips › Super League › Kalamata v OFI Crete
Super LeagueSun 18 Oct 13:00 UTCDimotiko Gipedo Neapolis NikaiasKalamata v OFI Crete tips
KAL
KalamataLWDLL
VSKalamataLWDLLOFI
OFI CreteDWWWL
OFI CreteDWWWLThe model callOFI CreteMatch result2.60★★★★2 stars
Ofi Crete bring much better recent form into this match than Kalamata. The away win price of 2.60 gives us a fair chance on the road.
Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$52
Profit$32
Why it might land
- Ofi Crete arrive with three wins from their last five matches which shows strong momentum compared to their opponents.
- Kalamata struggle badly with consistency after losing three of their last five outings in this division.
- The 2.60 price on Ofi Crete to win offers solid value given the contrasting recent form lines of both clubs.
Why it might not
- Ofi Crete dropped points in their most recent fixture after losing their latest match.
- Kalamata managed a draw in their recent run so they can occasionally frustrate visiting sides on home soil.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book
Both squads show mixed defensive records across their recent matches.
Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book
We lack pricing for the goal line so betting on goals carries unnecessary risk.
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Members analysis
In depthEdge Analysis
The matchup
The market makes OFI Crete the side to beat here at 36%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on OFI Crete, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Ofi Crete bring much better recent form into this match than Kalamata. The away win price of 2.60 gives us a fair chance on the road.
Form and momentum
Kalamata come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
OFI Crete come in strong, winning 67% of 6 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
The price and the value
The prices turn into 35% for KAL, 29% for the draw and 36% for OFI once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.60, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Where it could go wrong
- Ofi Crete dropped points in their most recent fixture after losing their latest match.
- Kalamata managed a draw in their recent run so they can occasionally frustrate visiting sides on home soil.
The bottom line
We back OFI Crete for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices
Every price we track
SourceDraftKingsOFI +160
KAL2.65draw3.15OFI2.60
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
The two sides
Recent Performance
KALKalamata5 games on record
Kalamata5 games on recordWon1
Drawn1
Lost3
- Scored6and let in8
- At home1 winsfrom3
- Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWDLL
OFIOFI Crete6 games on record
OFI Crete6 games on recordWon4
Drawn1
Lost1
- Scored10and let in4
- On the road1 winsfrom2
- Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWWWL
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
From the forum
What people are saying
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.