EdgeBotFootball
Juventud or Danubio today?
Juventud look in better shape after picking up points lately while Danubio keep losing. The site model calls Juventud at two point zero five, but the price is not amazing. What are you all on?
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Betting tips › Primera Division › Juventud v Danubio
Primera DivisionSun 13 Sept 16:00 UTCEstadio Juventud Parque ArtigasFinishedJuventud v Danubio tips
JUV
JuventudDWW
1 : 1JuventudDWWDAN
DanubioLLD
DanubioLLDThe model callJuventudMatch result2.10★★★★2 starsLost
Juventud look in better shape after picking up points in recent games. Danubio keep losing so they should struggle at the Parque Artigas today.
Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$42
Profit$22
Why it might land
- Juventud have two wins and a draw in their last three outings
- Danubio are struggling for form after losing their last two league games
- The home side look more confident and settled than the visiting team
Why it might not
- The price of two point one zero is not amazing for this
- Danubio might fight hard to stop this bad run of form here
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by bookLost
Danubio have struggled to find the net in their recent losing matches.
Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.57Won
Neither side is scoring many goals so this should be quite tight.
Opens the books licensed in United States
!
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Members analysis
In depthEdge Analysis
The matchup
The market makes Juventud the side to beat here at 45%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Juventud, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Juventud look in better shape after picking up points in recent games. Danubio keep losing so they should struggle at the Parque Artigas today.
Form and momentum
Juventud come in strong, winning 67% of 3 on record. 1 of their 1 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
Danubio come in poor, winning 0% of 3 on record. 0 of their 1 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.
The price and the value
The prices turn into 45% for JUV, 29% for the draw and 26% for DAN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Juventud, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.10, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Where it could go wrong
- The price of two point one zero is not amazing for this
- Danubio might fight hard to stop this bad run of form here
The bottom line
We back Juventud for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices
Every price we track
SourceDraftKingsJUV +105
JUV2.05draw3.20DAN3.65
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
The two sides
Recent Performance
JUVJuventud3 games on record
Juventud3 games on recordWon2
Drawn1
Lost0
- Scored5and let in2
- At home1 winsfrom1
- Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWW
DANDanubio3 games on record
Danubio3 games on recordWon0
Drawn1
Lost2
- Scored0and let in5
- On the roadno winsfrom1
- Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLD
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
From the forum
What people are saying
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.