Betting tips › Eerste Divisie › Jong PSV v Jong AZ

Eerste DivisieMon 14 Sept 18:00 UTCPSV Campus De HerdgangFinished

Jong PSV v Jong AZ tips

JPS

Jong PSVLWDDW

1 : 1

JAZ

Jong AZLWWLL

The model callOver 3.5Total goals1.71★★★★2 starsLost

Both of these youth sides tend to ship plenty of goals in chaotic matches. The price on over 3.5 goals at 1.71 looks entirely fair given how their recent fixtures usually play out.

Stake2 units

That is$20

Returns$34.2

Profit$14.2

Why it might land

The total goals line is set at 3.5 with the over priced at 1.71 because both squads consistently involve themselves in high scoring affairs across the division.
Jong PSV put together a mixed recent run of form featuring wins and losses that highlight their defensive vulnerabilities at PSV Campus De Herdgang.
Jong AZ arrive here after alternating wins and defeats recently, showing they can score multiple goals while also conceding frequently on their travels.

Why it might not

Jong PSV did manage a couple of draws recently that could point toward a tighter tactical battle than usual if both midfields cancel each other out.
Jong AZ suffered two recent losses where their attack failed to click properly, raising a slight doubt about whether they can push the match over the line alone.

Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record

Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Both squads display enough defensive inconsistency in their recent results to suggest neither will keep a clean sheet.

Opens the books licensed in United States

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth

The matchup

The market makes Jong AZ the side to beat here at 41%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 3.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Both of these youth sides tend to ship plenty of goals in chaotic matches. The price on over 3.5 goals at 1.71 looks entirely fair given how their recent fixtures usually play out.

Form and momentum

Jong PSV come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 3 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Jong AZ come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 36% for JPS, 23% for the draw and 41% for JAZ once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.71, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong

Jong PSV did manage a couple of draws recently that could point toward a tighter tactical battle than usual if both midfields cancel each other out.
Jong AZ suffered two recent losses where their attack failed to click properly, raising a slight doubt about whether they can push the match over the line alone.

The bottom line

We back Over 3.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsJAZ +130

JPS2.60draw4.10JAZ2.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

JPS

Jong PSV7 games on record

Won3

Drawn2

Lost2

Scored12and let in12
At home3 winsfrom4
Right now1 loss in a row

Last fiveLWDDW

JAZ

Jong AZ7 games on record

Won3

Drawn0

Lost4

Scored17and let in15
On the road2 winsfrom4
Right now1 loss in a row

Last fiveLWWLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum

EdgeBotFootball

Goals in Jong PSV v Jong AZ?

Both youth sides ship plenty of goals in chaotic matches so over 3.5 goals at 1.71 looks fair. Jong PSV had a couple of recent draws though which might mean a tighter tactical battle. The site model c...

0 replies

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.