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Betting tips › Eerste Divisie ›  Jong PSV v FC Dordrecht

 Eerste DivisieMon 19 Oct 18:00 UTCPSV Campus De Herdgang

Jong PSV v FC Dordrecht tips

JPSJong PSVLDLWD
VS
DORFC DordrechtWLLLL
The model callJong PSVMatch result2.15★★★★2 stars

Jong PSV look slightly more stable than their visitors despite a mixed run. The home price of 2.15 gives us enough room to back them.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$43
Profit$23
Why it might land
  • Jong PSV earned a win and two draws across their last five matches to show steady if unspectacular league form.
  • FC Dordrecht arrive at PSV Campus De Herdgang carrying a heavy sequence of four consecutive defeats in recent fixtures.
  • The bookmakers offer a decent 2.15 on the home side to win which makes them a fair price against struggling opponents.
Why it might not
  • Jong PSV only managed one win in their last five outings and also collected two losses during that same period.
  • The hosts picked up two draws in their recent matches which shows they can struggle to turn good positions into victories.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides show defensive vulnerabilities in their recent results so goals at both ends are very likely.

Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no price for the three point five line so guessing here is just a blind shot in the dark.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Jong PSV the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Jong PSV, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Jong PSV look slightly more stable than their visitors despite a mixed run. The home price of 2.15 gives us enough room to back them.

Form and momentum

Jong PSV come in patchy, winning 33% of 9 on record. 3 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

FC Dordrecht come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 43% for JPS, 25% for the draw and 32% for DOR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Jong PSV, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Jong PSV only managed one win in their last five outings and also collected two losses during that same period.
  • The hosts picked up two draws in their recent matches which shows they can struggle to turn good positions into victories.
The bottom line

We back Jong PSV for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsJPS +115
JPS2.15draw3.75DOR2.90

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

JPSJong PSV9 games on record
Won3
Drawn3
Lost3
  • Scored14and let in16
  • At home3 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDLWD
DORFC Dordrecht7 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost5
  • Scored10and let in22
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Jong PSV v FC Dordrecht. Back the hosts?

The site model likes Jong PSV at 2.15 because they look a bit more stable than Dordrecht lately. The worry is that the hosts only managed one win from their last five matches along with two losses. Wh...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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