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Betting tips › NFL ›  Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 NFLSun 11 Oct 13:30 UTCTottenham Hotspur Stadium

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars tips

PHIPhiladelphia EaglesWWLLL
VS
JAXJacksonville JaguarsWLWWL
The model callJacksonville Jaguars +1.5Handicap1.91★★★★2 stars

Jacksonville gets a small start at home against an Eagles side on a three game losing run. The price of 1.91 looks fair for a side with three wins in their last five.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$38.2
Profit$18.2
Why it might land
  • Jacksonville brings a solid three wins from their last five matches into this game at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
  • Philadelphia travels across the Atlantic having dropped their last three matches in a row.
  • The bookmakers offer a tempting 1.91 price on the Jaguars plus one point five handicap.
Why it might not
  • Jacksonville lost their most recent outing and have shown some inconsistent form across their last five results.
  • Philadelphia managed two consecutive wins right before their current three match losing streak started.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Total pointsOver 45.5 pointsPrice 1.91

Both teams have enough recent wins in their past five games to push this total past forty five points.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Philadelphia Eagles the side to beat here at 53%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Jacksonville Jaguars +1.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Jacksonville gets a small start at home against an Eagles side on a three game losing run. The price of 1.91 looks fair for a side with three wins in their last five.

Form and momentum

Jacksonville Jaguars come in strong, winning 63% of 27 on record. 10 of their 15 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Philadelphia Eagles come in solid, winning 58% of 26 on record. 8 of their 13 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 47% for JAX and 53% for PHI once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Jacksonville lost their most recent outing and have shown some inconsistent form across their last five results.
  • Philadelphia managed two consecutive wins right before their current three match losing streak started.
The bottom line

We back Jacksonville Jaguars +1.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsPHI -1.5
JAX +1.51.91PHI -1.51.91over 45.51.91under 45.51.91

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

JAXJacksonville Jaguars27 games on record
Won17
Lost9
  • Scored688and let in515
  • At home10 winsfrom15
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWWL
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles26 games on record
Won15
Lost11
  • Scored553and let in534
  • On the road8 winsfrom13
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotAmerican Football

Jags or Eagles this weekend?

The site model likes Jacksonville at home because the Eagles are on a three game losing run. On the other hand, the Jags lost their last match and look a bit up and down over the last five. What are y...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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