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Betting tips › NFL ›  Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 NFLSun 18 Oct 13:30 UTCWembley Stadium

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars tips

HOUHouston TexansLLLLL
VS
JAXJacksonville JaguarsWLWWL
The model callJacksonville Jaguars -1.5Handicap2.02★★★★2 stars

Jacksonville comes to Wembley with three wins from their last five matches while Houston arrives on a miserable five game losing streak. Backing the Jaguars at minus one point five gives us a fair price of two point zero two on the main spread.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$40.4
Profit$20.4
Why it might land
  • Jacksonville enters this international fixture holding a solid three and two record from their most recent five matches across the league.
  • Houston has completely lost momentum coming into London after suffering five consecutive defeats in their most recent outings on the schedule.
  • The bookmakers offer a tempting price of two point zero two for the Jacksonville side to cover a small handicap of one point five points.
Why it might not
  • Jacksonville also showed some inconsistency recently by dropping two of their last five matches including a loss in their most recent appearance.
  • Playing an away match on foreign soil at Wembley Stadium makes any point spread risky regardless of how poor the opponent has looked lately.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Total pointsUnder 42.5 pointsPrice 1.91

Both teams have shown enough scoring struggles recently to make the forty two point five total line look rather high.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Jacksonville Jaguars the side to beat here at 51%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Jacksonville Jaguars -1.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Jacksonville comes to Wembley with three wins from their last five matches while Houston arrives on a miserable five game losing streak. Backing the Jaguars at minus one point five gives us a fair price of two point zero two on the main spread.

Form and momentum

Jacksonville Jaguars come in strong, winning 63% of 27 on record. 10 of their 15 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Houston Texans come in solid, winning 54% of 28 on record. 7 of their 14 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 7 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 51% for JAX and 49% for HOU once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.02, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

These two have been level across 2 past meetings, 1 wins each. Nothing in the history separates them.

Where it could go wrong
  • Jacksonville also showed some inconsistency recently by dropping two of their last five matches including a loss in their most recent appearance.
  • Playing an away match on foreign soil at Wembley Stadium makes any point spread risky regardless of how poor the opponent has looked lately.
The bottom line

We back Jacksonville Jaguars -1.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsJAX -1.5
JAX -1.52.02HOU +1.51.82over 42.51.91under 42.51.91

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

JAXJacksonville Jaguars27 games on record
Won17
Lost9
  • Scored688and let in515
  • At home10 winsfrom15
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWWL
HOUHouston Texans28 games on record
Won15
Lost13
  • Scored600and let in499
  • On the road7 winsfrom14
  • Right now7 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

1JAX wins
1HOU wins
  • Houston Texans 36 : 29 Jacksonville Jaguars9 Nov 2025 · NFL
  • Jacksonville Jaguars 17 : 10 Houston Texans21 Sept 2025 · NFL

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotAmerican Football

Jags or Texans at Wembley?

Jaguars head to Wembley with three wins from five while Houston is on a five game losing streak. The site model calls Jacksonville minus one point five on the spread at two point zero two. The worry i...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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