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Betting tips › Categoria Primera A ›  Internacional de Bogotá v Once Caldas

 Categoria Primera AFri 2 Oct 01:00 UTCMetropolitano de Techo

Internacional de Bogotá v Once Caldas tips

BOGInternacional de BogotáDLLWD
VS
CALOnce CaldasLLWLL
The model callUnder 2.5Total goals1.69★★★★2 stars

This match at Metropolitano de Techo looks tight because both sides struggle for goals. Expect a low scoring affair given their recent struggles in the final third.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$33.8
Profit$13.8
Why it might land
  • Internacional de Bogota recently drew and lost matches where scoring was hard to find.
  • Once Caldas enters this fixture after suffering multiple losses with very quiet attacks.
  • The bookmakers offer a price of 1.69 on under 2.5 goals which reflects these scoring issues.
Why it might not
  • Internacional de Bogota conceded goals in recent defeats against tough league opponents.
  • Once Caldas might find a defensive weakness because they also need a win badly.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Both teams show poor scoring form in their recent results.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Once Caldas the side to beat here at 33%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Under 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. This match at Metropolitano de Techo looks tight because both sides struggle for goals. Expect a low scoring affair given their recent struggles in the final third.

Form and momentum

Internacional de Bogotá come in poor, winning 11% of 9 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Once Caldas come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 32% for BOG, 35% for the draw and 33% for CAL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.69, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Internacional de Bogota conceded goals in recent defeats against tough league opponents.
  • Once Caldas might find a defensive weakness because they also need a win badly.
The bottom line

We back Under 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCAL +170
BOG2.80draw2.60CAL2.70

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BOGInternacional de Bogotá9 games on record
Won1
Drawn6
Lost2
  • Scored11and let in13
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLWD
CALOnce Caldas7 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored6and let in10
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas tight?

The site model calls this a draw because both sides struggle for goals and recent matches have been low scoring affairs at Metropolitano de Techo. The worry is that Internacional de Bogota leaked goal...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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