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Betting tips › Categoria Primera A ›  Internacional de Bogotá v Independiente Medellín

 Categoria Primera AThu 29 Oct 01:05 UTCMetropolitano de Techo

Internacional de Bogotá v Independiente Medellín tips

BOGInternacional de BogotáDLLWD
VS
DIMIndependiente MedellínLWDLW
The model callInternacional de BogotáMatch result2.55★★★★1 star

Internacional de Bogotá host Independiente Medellín at Metropolitano de Techo with little to separate them on recent form. The price of 2.55 offers some value on the home side despite their mixed run.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$25.5
Profit$15.5
Why it might land
  • Internacional de Bogotá play this fixture at home on their own turf after picking up a draw and a win in their last five outings.
  • Independiente Medellín travels to this venue having suffered two defeats across their last five matches in the league.
  • The market prices Internacional de Bogotá at 2.55 to win which gives decent odds for a home team against this opponent.
Why it might not
  • Internacional de Bogotá head into this match following a patchy run of form that includes two losses and two draws.
  • Independiente Medellín arrive with two wins in their last five fixtures and will prove a stubborn test for the hosts.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown enough inconsistency in recent matches to suggest keeping goals on side is a risky venture.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.80

The total goals line sits at 2.5 with the under priced at 1.80 which reflects a tight contest expected on the night.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Internacional de Bogotá the side to beat here at 36%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Internacional de Bogotá, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Internacional de Bogotá host Independiente Medellín at Metropolitano de Techo with little to separate them on recent form. The price of 2.55 offers some value on the home side despite their mixed run.

Form and momentum

Internacional de Bogotá come in poor, winning 11% of 9 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Independiente Medellín come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 36% for BOG, 30% for the draw and 34% for DIM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.55, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Internacional de Bogotá head into this match following a patchy run of form that includes two losses and two draws.
  • Independiente Medellín arrive with two wins in their last five fixtures and will prove a stubborn test for the hosts.
The bottom line

We back Internacional de Bogotá for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsBOG +155
BOG2.55draw3.00DIM2.65

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BOGInternacional de Bogotá9 games on record
Won1
Drawn6
Lost2
  • Scored11and let in13
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLWD
DIMIndependiente Medellín7 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored10and let in9
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWDLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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