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Betting tips › Categoria Primera A ›  Internacional de Bogotá v Atlético Nacional

 Categoria Primera AThu 17 Sept 01:20 UTCEstadio Nemesio Camacho El CampínFinished

Internacional de Bogotá v Atlético Nacional tips

BOGInternacional de BogotáWDDDD
2 : 3
NALAtlético NacionalWWWW
The model callAtlético NacionalMatch result1.91★★★★2 starsWon

Atletico Nacional arrive with four straight wins and face a side that keeps drawing too many matches. The away price of 1.91 offers fair value given the current form.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$38.2
Profit$18.2
Why it might land
  • Atletico Nacional enter this fixture carrying a strong run of four consecutive victories in their recent league matches.
  • Internacional de Bogota have picked up four draws from their last five outings which shows they struggle to turn tight games into wins.
  • Bookmakers price Atletico Nacional at 1.91 to win which gives decent backing for the team in better overall form.
Why it might not
  • Internacional de Bogota managed a win in their most recent fixture and proved they can still take three points on home soil.
  • Atletico Nacional must play away at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin where the hosts are notoriously difficult to beat.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by bookLost

The hosts are involved in many low scoring stalemates which could leave one side failing to find the net.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.77Lost

Internacional de Bogota draw so many matches because their games tend to stay tight with few goals.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Atlético Nacional the side to beat here at 48%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Atlético Nacional, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Atletico Nacional arrive with four straight wins and face a side that keeps drawing too many matches. The away price of 1.91 offers fair value given the current form.

Form and momentum

Internacional de Bogotá come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Atlético Nacional come in strong, winning 100% of 4 on record. 2 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 4 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 24% for BOG, 28% for the draw and 48% for NAL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Atlético Nacional, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Internacional de Bogota managed a win in their most recent fixture and proved they can still take three points on home soil.
  • Atletico Nacional must play away at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin where the hosts are notoriously difficult to beat.
The bottom line

We back Atlético Nacional for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsNAL -110
BOG3.75draw3.25NAL1.91

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BOGInternacional de Bogotá6 games on record
Won1
Drawn5
Lost0
  • Scored9and let in8
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDDDD
NALAtlético Nacional4 games on record
Won4
Drawn0
Lost0
  • Scored11and let in3
  • On the road2 winsfrom2
  • Right now4 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Nacional away at Internacional

The site model goes for Atletico Nacional at 1.91 after four straight wins against a home team that draws a lot. Internacional did win their last game though and might prove stubborn on their own patc...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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