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Betting tips › Categoria Primera A ›  Independiente Santa Fe v Atlético Bucaramanga

 Categoria Primera ATue 27 Oct 01:05 UTCEstadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín

Independiente Santa Fe v Atlético Bucaramanga tips

SFEIndependiente Santa FeLWWDW
VS
BUCAtlético BucaramangaWWDWD
The model callIndependiente Santa FeMatch result1.87★★★★2 stars

Santa Fe play at El Campin where they usually find a way to get past stubborn visitors. Bucaramanga arrive in decent form but face a very tough task against home advantage.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$37.4
Profit$17.4
Why it might land
  • Independiente Santa Fe return to their home ground after putting together a solid run of three wins and a draw from their last five matches.
  • The bookmakers offer a reasonable price of 1.87 for Independiente Santa Fe to secure the victory in front of their own supporters.
  • Independiente Santa Fe show a strong recent tendency to win matches while visitors Atletico Bucaramanga often settle for draws.
Why it might not
  • Atletico Bucaramanga travel with an impressive unbeaten five match form string that includes three victories and two draws.
  • Atletico Bucaramanga prove difficult to break down because they managed to avoid defeat in every single one of their recent five outings.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams bring decent scoring momentum into this fixture which points towards goals at both ends.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides often keep things tight in their matches so goals might be hard to find.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Independiente Santa Fe the side to beat here at 49%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Independiente Santa Fe, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Santa Fe play at El Campin where they usually find a way to get past stubborn visitors. Bucaramanga arrive in decent form but face a very tough task against home advantage.

Form and momentum

Independiente Santa Fe come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Atlético Bucaramanga come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 2 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 49% for SFE, 28% for the draw and 23% for BUC once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Independiente Santa Fe, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.87, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Atletico Bucaramanga travel with an impressive unbeaten five match form string that includes three victories and two draws.
  • Atletico Bucaramanga prove difficult to break down because they managed to avoid defeat in every single one of their recent five outings.
The bottom line

We back Independiente Santa Fe for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSFE -115
SFE1.87draw3.30BUC3.95

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SFEIndependiente Santa Fe7 games on record
Won3
Drawn3
Lost1
  • Scored11and let in7
  • At home2 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWDW
BUCAtlético Bucaramanga6 games on record
Won3
Drawn3
Lost0
  • Scored11and let in5
  • On the road2 winsfrom4
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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