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Betting tips › Liga Profesional ›  Independiente Rivadavia v Gimnasia La Plata

 Liga ProfesionalSat 3 Oct 00:30 UTCBautista Gargantini

Independiente Rivadavia v Gimnasia La Plata tips

RIVIndependiente RivadaviaWWLWD
VS
GLPGimnasia La PlataDDWWL
The model callIndependiente RivadaviaMatch result1.80★★★★2 stars

Independiente Rivadavia bring solid home form into this clash at Bautista Gargantini. Gimnasia La Plata struggle to string wins together on the road.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$36
Profit$16
Why it might land
  • Independiente Rivadavia arrive with three wins from their last five matches including a recent solid run of form.
  • The market prices Independiente Rivadavia at one point eight zero to win which offers fair value for their current momentum.
  • Gimnasia La Plata only managed one win in their last five outings while collecting two draws and a recent loss.
Why it might not
  • Independiente Rivadavia picked up a recent draw and a loss which shows they are still prone to stumbling.
  • Gimnasia La Plata managed two draws in their last five matches proving they can frustrate opponents away from home.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Neither side shows enough consistent scoring power to suggest both will find the back of the net here.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.77

Under two point five goals sits at one point seven seven because both sides often grind out tight matches.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Independiente Rivadavia the side to beat here at 51%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Independiente Rivadavia, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Independiente Rivadavia bring solid home form into this clash at Bautista Gargantini. Gimnasia La Plata struggle to string wins together on the road.

Form and momentum

Independiente Rivadavia come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 2 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

Gimnasia La Plata come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 51% for RIV, 26% for the draw and 23% for GLP once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Independiente Rivadavia, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.80, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Independiente Rivadavia picked up a recent draw and a loss which shows they are still prone to stumbling.
  • Gimnasia La Plata managed two draws in their last five matches proving they can frustrate opponents away from home.
The bottom line

We back Independiente Rivadavia for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsRIV -125
RIV1.80draw3.55GLP4.10

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

RIVIndependiente Rivadavia6 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored9and let in9
  • At home2 winsfrom2
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLWD
GLPGimnasia La Plata7 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored11and let in12
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 draws in a row
Last fiveDDWWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Independiente Rivadavia v Gimnasia La Plata verdict?

The site model likes Independiente Rivadavia at 1.80 because of their solid home form while Gimnasia struggle on the road. On the other hand, the hosts picked up a recent draw and a loss which shows t...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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