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Betting tips › Categoria Primera A ›  Independiente Medellín v Once Caldas

 Categoria Primera ASun 18 Oct 01:10 UTCAtanasio Girardot

Independiente Medellín v Once Caldas tips

DIMIndependiente MedellínLWDLW
VS
CALOnce CaldasLLWLL
The model callIndependiente MedellínMatch result1.91★★★★2 stars

Independiente Medellin play at home against Once Caldas and should edge past visitors who struggle for consistency. The hosts are favored at 1.91 in the match market.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$38.2
Profit$18.2
Why it might land
  • Independiente Medellin come into this fixture playing at their home ground of Atanasio Girardot with a recent form line showing a win and a loss.
  • Once Caldas travel after suffering a heavy run of results that includes four defeats from their last five competitive matches across the league.
  • The bookmakers price Independiente Medellin at a backable 1.91 to secure the victory in front of their own supporters this weekend.
Why it might not
  • Independiente Medellin show an inconsistent recent run of results featuring losses alongside their wins and draws which adds risk.
  • Once Caldas managed to pick up one victory in their last five outings and could spring a surprise despite their poor overall form.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Both sides have dropped multiple matches recently which points toward a cagey affair.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We lack explicit pricing for the goals line so staying cautious on the under is sensible.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Independiente Medellín the side to beat here at 47%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Independiente Medellín, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Independiente Medellin play at home against Once Caldas and should edge past visitors who struggle for consistency. The hosts are favored at 1.91 in the match market.

Form and momentum

Independiente Medellín come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Once Caldas come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 47% for DIM, 27% for the draw and 25% for CAL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Independiente Medellín, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Independiente Medellin show an inconsistent recent run of results featuring losses alongside their wins and draws which adds risk.
  • Once Caldas managed to pick up one victory in their last five outings and could spring a surprise despite their poor overall form.
The bottom line

We back Independiente Medellín for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsDIM -110
DIM1.91draw3.30CAL3.60

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

DIMIndependiente Medellín7 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored10and let in9
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWDLW
CALOnce Caldas7 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored6and let in10
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Medellin or Once Caldas today?

The site model has Independiente Medellin at 1.91 to beat Once Caldas at home. The visitors struggle for consistency on the road. The catch is that Medellin are also on an inconsistent run of mixed re...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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